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Florida weather today

We follow 496 towns and cities in Florida, each with NWS, American, European side by side and the days they disagree flagged. Today the three models put highs between 81°F in East Pensacola Heights and 90°F in Cape Coral, and at least one model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in 90 of the 90 places we hold today's forecast for.

Numbers from the forecast run of Saturday, October 3. Open any town for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.

Weather in Florida's largest cities today

consensus of NWS, American, European, forecast run of Saturday, October 3
CityTodayHigh / lowRain chanceTomorrowModels agree
JacksonvilleDrizzle85°F / 75°F94%Heavy drizzle, 85°FHigh (3°F apart)
MiamiDrizzle85°F / 79°F84%Light drizzle, 86°FHigh (1°F apart)
TampaShowers88°F / 76°F78%Drizzle, 87°FHigh (4°F apart)
OrlandoLight rain88°F / 75°F84%Light drizzle, 89°FMedium (5°F apart)
St. PetersburgShowers88°F / 76°F69%Light drizzle, 87°FHigh (2°F apart)
HialeahLight drizzle86°F / 79°F84%Drizzle, 86°FHigh (2°F apart)
TallahasseeShowers84°F / 73°F94%Showers, 78°FMedium (5°F apart)
Fort LauderdaleLight drizzle86°F / 78°F78%Mostly clear, 86°FHigh (2°F apart)
Cape CoralShowers90°F / 76°F83%Heavy drizzle, 89°FHigh (3°F apart)
Pembroke PinesLight drizzle86°F / 78°F78%Light drizzle, 86°FHigh (2°F apart)
Port Saint LucieThunderstorm86°F / 78°F77%Showers, 86°FHigh (2°F apart)
HollywoodDrizzle86°F / 79°F78%Mostly clear, 86°FHigh (3°F apart)
GainesvilleShowers87°F / 74°F95%Drizzle, 84°FMedium (5°F apart)
MiramarLight drizzle86°F / 78°F78%Light drizzle, 86°FHigh (1°F apart)
Coral SpringsLight drizzle86°F / 78°F71%Light drizzle, 87°FHigh (2°F apart)
West Palm BeachThunderstorm86°F / 78°F50%Showers, 86°FHigh (2°F apart)
Palm BayDrizzle85°F / 78°F71%Light drizzle, 86°FHigh (1°F apart)
ClearwaterShowers86°F / 75°F69%Drizzle, 87°FHigh (3°F apart)
Miami GardensShowers86°F / 78°F78%Light drizzle, 87°FHigh (1°F apart)
Pompano BeachLight drizzle86°F / 78°F71%Showers, 86°FHigh (2°F apart)

Rain chance is the highest of the three models. "Models agree" compares their forecast highs, the same confidence rule as on every city page.

Florida weather alerts and warnings

active National Weather Service watches, warnings and advisories

Checking the National Weather Service for active alerts in Florida…

Today across Florida

from the latest model run, Saturday, October 3
Warmest today
90.0°F
Cape Coral, FL
  1. North Port, FL90.0°F
  2. Bradenton, FL88.5°F
  3. Pine Hills, FL88.4°F
  4. Brandon, FL88.1°F
Coldest low today
73.2°F
Tallahassee, FL
  1. Gainesville, FL73.7°F
  2. Ocoee, FL74.5°F
  3. Spring Hill, FL74.6°F
  4. The Villages, FL74.9°F
Rain most certain
62%
East Pensacola Heights, FL
  1. Tampa, FL55%
  2. The Villages, FL52%
  3. Apopka, FL48%
  4. Gainesville, FL46%
Windiest
15 mph
Boynton Beach, FL
  1. Miami Beach, FL14 mph
  2. Pensacola, FL13 mph
  3. Jupiter, FL13 mph
  4. Bradenton, FL13 mph

Warmest and coldest use the average of NWS, American, European. "Rain most certain" ranks by the lowest chance among the models that give one (at least two), so a place only makes the list when they agree, and only from 30%. One place per area, so the list spreads across the state.

The past week across Florida

analysed, the seven days September 22 to September 28
Warmest
88.1°F
Pensacola, FL
  1. Marianna, FL87.6°F
  2. Immokalee, FL87.6°F
  3. Port Charlotte, FL87.5°F
  4. Crestview, FL87.4°F
Coolest
81.0°F
Jacksonville Beach, FL
  1. New Smyrna Beach, FL81.8°F
  2. Lakeside, FL82.5°F
  3. Palm Coast, FL82.8°F
  4. Tallahassee, FL83.5°F
Sunniest
85%
Tallahassee, FL
  1. Panama City, FL85%
  2. Pensacola, FL85%
  3. Santa Rosa Beach, FL84%
  4. Live Oak, FL84%
Least wind
3 mph
Doral, FL
  1. Crestview, FL3 mph
  2. Live Oak, FL3 mph
  3. Tallahassee, FL3 mph
  4. Jacksonville, FL3 mph
Windiest
11 mph
New Smyrna Beach, FL
  1. Jensen Beach, FL10 mph
  2. Jacksonville Beach, FL10 mph
  3. Marathon, FL8 mph
  4. Key West, FL8 mph

Estimates from NASA POWER (GEOS-IT weather analysis, FLASHFlux satellite sunlight), not forecasts or station readings. Warmest and coolest are the average daily high. "Sunniest" is the sunlight that reached the ground as a share of what a clear sky would give at that latitude and date (FAO-56 clear-sky formula, approximate). Each value covers an area of about 50 km around the town, so one town per area. Rain is left out because weekly rain estimates differ too much between data sources to rank them honestly. The week ends a few days back because the sunlight data arrives with a delay.

Which forecast is most accurate in Florida?

Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 147 Florida cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 147 of them. No model wins everywhere, which is why each city page names its own winner.

Jacksonville: European 91/100Miami: European 88/100Tampa: European 93/100Orlando: European 94/100St. Petersburg: European 89/100Hialeah: European 94/100Tallahassee: European 88/100Fort Lauderdale: European 89/100Cape Coral: European 91/100Pembroke Pines: European 95/100Port Saint Lucie: European 88/100Hollywood: European 94/100

How we grade: the US accuracy scoreboard and our method.

Florida climate, city by city

Across the 304 Florida places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 85°F in Santa Rosa Beach to 93°F in Palatka, and January highs from 62°F in East Pensacola Heights to 78°F in Florida City. Hialeah is the wettest at about 86 in of precipitation a year, Fleming Island the driest at about 43 in.

CityJan highJul highWettest monthRain per year
Jacksonville66°F91°FSeptember49 in
Miami76°F89°FJune72 in
Tampa70°F91°FAugust52 in
Orlando71°F90°FSeptember64 in
St. Petersburg68°F91°FOctober44 in
Hialeah77°F90°FJune86 in
Tallahassee64°F91°FSeptember59 in
Fort Lauderdale76°F88°FJune80 in
Cape Coral73°F90°FJune59 in
Pembroke Pines77°F90°FJune83 in
Port Saint Lucie74°F90°FSeptember60 in
Hollywood76°F89°FJune78 in
Gainesville68°F92°FAugust44 in
Miramar77°F90°FJune83 in
Coral Springs77°F90°FJune75 in

Averages from ERA5 reanalysis, the same source as the climate tables on each city page.

All 496 places in Florida

every town and city we cover, A to Z

Common questions

What is the weather in Florida today?
Today the three models put highs between 81°F in East Pensacola Heights and 90°F in Cape Coral, and at least one model gives a 50% or higher chance of rain in 90 of the 90 places we hold today's forecast for. Open any town on this page for the live, hour-by-hour comparison.
Where is it warmest in Florida today?
Cape Coral has the highest forecast high of the 90 Florida places we hold today's forecast for, near 90°F. East Pensacola Heights is the coolest, near 81°F.
Which weather forecast is most accurate in Florida?
Over the last 30 days we graded the models in 147 Florida cities against the recorded weather. The European model was most accurate in 147 of them.
What is the climate like in Florida?
Across the 304 Florida places we hold long-run averages for, typical July highs run from 85°F in Santa Rosa Beach to 93°F in Palatka, and January highs from 62°F in East Pensacola Heights to 78°F in Florida City. Hialeah is the wettest at about 86 in of precipitation a year, Fleming Island the driest at about 43 in.

More US weather

All 50 statesWhich forecast is most accurate in the United States?US rain radarAll US cities, A to Z