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CheckWeather USThe Villages
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°F

The Villages weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

NWS, the American and the European model agree on a high near 89° in The Villages today. Tomorrow looks showers around 89°, with a 99% chance of rain.

89°75°
89°76°
85°75°
88°74°
89°75°
89°75°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±6°
NWSNational Blend (NBM)
81°
Mainly clear
Feels 92° · Wind 2 mph · Humidity 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
82°
Overcast
Feels 91° · Wind 7 mph · Humidity 84%
EuropeanECMWF
78°
Drizzle
Feels 89° · Wind 0 mph · Humidity 96%

Latest for The Villages: NWS (National Blend (NBM)): 81° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 82° Overcast · European (ECMWF): 78° Drizzle.

The weather map: all three models at once

NWS, American, European side by side around The Villages and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
89° 75°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
89° 76°
models agree
Mon
Showers
85° 75°
models agree
Tue
Thunderstorm
88° 74°
±5°
Wed
Drizzle
89° 75°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
89° 75°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
88° 75°
±11°
Sat
Thunderstorm
89° 76°
±9°
Sun
Drizzle
91° 76°
±10°
Mon
Drizzle
90° 76°
±8°
Tue
Thunderstorm
89° 75°
±7°
Wed
Thunderstorm
89° 74°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
88° 74°
±9°
Fri
Cloudy
84° 71°
models agree

The Villages, FL is at its warmest in Jul (average highs near 92°F) and coldest in Jan (lows around 50°F), with roughly 47 in of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what NWS, American, European forecast for The Villages right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United States before you trust any single number.

The Villages climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
69°
50°
Feb
74°
53°
Mar
79°
59°
Apr
82°
62°
May
88°
68°
Jun
90°
73°
Jul
92°
76°
Aug
92°
76°
Sep
88°
73°
Oct
82°
66°
Nov
77°
60°
Dec
70°
53°

Which forecast is most accurate in The Villages?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
88±1.2°F96±1.4 mph5877% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
59
/100rank #2
79±2.1°F90±3.1 mph1352% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1999 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United States, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°88° to 90°±70%30% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°88° to 89°±79%20% to 99% chance
Mon±3°84° to 86°±21%73% to 94% chance
Tue±5°85° to 90°±1%87% to 88% chance
Wed±6°87° to 93°±9%72% to 81% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in The Villages

today, local time
Sunrise
07:07
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
12h 38m

Common questions

What's the weather in The Villages today?
On this page we show what NWS, American, European each forecast for The Villages today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in The Villages today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from NWS, American, European for The Villages and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for The Villages?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for The Villages (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 59. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the US accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in The Villages?
July is typically the warmest month in The Villages, with average highs around 92°F.
How cold does The Villages get?
The coldest month in The Villages is January, when overnight lows average about 50°F.
How much rain does The Villages get?
The Villages sees roughly 47 in of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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