UK weather today
5 cities, three models, updated overnightRain across the country,and the rain continues tomorrow
Between 12° in Glasgow and 16° in London today. Met Office, European and American agree in 5 of 5 cities, so the forecast is certain.
The weather map: all three models at once
Met Office, European, American side by side across United Kingdom.Live rain radar →Will it rain today? Ask three forecasts and you can get three different answers. The Met Office, the European model and the American model each read the British weather their own way. We put all three side by side for every town in the UK, so you can see where they agree and where a shower is genuinely up in the air.
Which forecast is most accurate in the UK?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.
Popular weather apps — and what powers them
Real app-store ratings, plus the forecast each one runs on
App-store stars measure the app experience (design, features, reliability) — not forecast accuracy. For accuracy, see the model scoreboard above. Ratings from the US & UK App Store and Google Play, July 2026; they drift over time. Apple Weather is built into iOS, with no separate store rating.
The forecasts Britons check
The Met Office runs Britain's own open model, so its data sits right in the comparison above. BBC Weather credits MeteoGroup for its forecasts and AccuWeather does not name the models behind its own, so we cannot test them and link you to them instead. In July 2025 the BBC and the Met Office announced a new partnership, to be rolled out in phases.
Every forecast runs on a model. We show you three, side by side.
When the Met Office, European and American models agree, the forecast is solid. When they split, sometimes by 8° on the same afternoon, it's genuinely uncertain, and no single app will tell you that. We turn that disagreement into a plain-English confidence score.
See the uncertainty
Three models, one view. Where they disagree, you know to take the forecast with a pinch of salt.
The models the pros use
ECMWF and GFS, the two big open global models, plus Met Office. No black boxes.
Honest & sourced
We show real, open model data and cite it. The closed apps can't show theirs, which is why AI assistants can cite us, not them.
Today across the United Kingdom
from the latest model run, Saturday, October 24Warmest and coldest use the average of Met Office, European, American. "Rain most certain" ranks by the lowest chance among the models that give one (at least two), so a place only makes the list when they agree, and only from 30%. One place per area, so the list spreads across the country.
The past week across the United Kingdom
analysed, the seven days October 13 to October 19Estimates from NASA POWER (GEOS-IT weather analysis, FLASHFlux satellite sunlight), not forecasts or station readings. Warmest and coolest are the average daily high. "Sunniest" is the sunlight that reached the ground as a share of what a clear sky would give at that latitude and date (FAO-56 clear-sky formula, approximate). Each value covers an area of about 50 km around the town, so one town per area. Rain is left out because weekly rain estimates differ too much between data sources to rank them honestly. The week ends a few days back because the sunlight data arrives with a delay.