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CheckWeather UKExeter
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Exeter weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 22° in Exeter today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 21°, with a 26% chance of rain.

22°14°
21°16°
19°12°
18°11°
19°12°
20°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
22°
Cloudy
Today 22°·Low 15°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 13°·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 14%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Exeter and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Thu
Light rain
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
22° 10°
±6°
Sun
Light rain
23° 15°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±4°
Tue
Light rain
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
18° 10°
±6°
Thu
Drizzle
20°
±8°
Fri
Light rain
20° 12°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
18°
±7°

Exeter, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 21°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 2°C), with roughly 1179 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Exeter right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Exeter climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
13°
May
17°
Jun
20°
11°
Jul
20°
12°
Aug
21°
13°
Sep
19°
12°
Oct
16°
10°
Nov
11°
Dec
10°

Which forecast is most accurate in Exeter?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±0.7 mph9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
90
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±1.3 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
77±1.3°C90±3.0 mph9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 22°±68%14% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±2°20° to 22°±19%7% to 26% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±19%62% to 81% chance
Wed±3°17° to 20°±2%2% to 4% chance
Thu±1°19° to 19°±11%23% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Exeter

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Exeter today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Exeter today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Exeter today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Exeter and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Exeter?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Exeter (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the Met Office at 90. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Exeter?
August is typically the warmest month in Exeter, with average highs around 21°C.
How cold does Exeter get?
The coldest month in Exeter is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Exeter get?
Exeter sees roughly 1179 mm of precipitation a year, with September usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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