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CheckWeather UKExmouth
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Exmouth weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Exmouth's high today between 19° and 22°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 21°, with a 26% chance of rain.

20°15°
21°16°
19°12°
18°11°
19°12°
20°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
21°
Cloudy
Today 21°·Low 17°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Today 22°·Low 14°·Rain 82%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Today 19°·Low 14°·Rain 14%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Exmouth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
20° 15°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
21° 16°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
±3°
Thu
Heavy drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 13°
±3°
Sat
Light rain
21° 10°
±5°
Sun
Light rain
23° 15°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Tue
Light rain
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
16° 11°
±3°
Thu
Drizzle
18° 10°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
20° 13°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±5°

Exmouth, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 3°C), with roughly 1179 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Exmouth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Exmouth climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
Feb
11°
Mar
11°
Apr
12°
May
16°
10°
Jun
19°
12°
Jul
19°
13°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
19°
13°
Oct
16°
11°
Nov
12°
Dec
11°

Which forecast is most accurate in Exmouth?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
Met Office logo
Met Office ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C96±1.2 mph8994% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
69±1.7°C96±1.4 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C89±3.3 mph8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°19° to 22°±68%14% to 82% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±19%7% to 26% chance
Tue±1°19° to 20°±19%62% to 81% chance
Wed±3°17° to 19°±2%2% to 4% chance
Thu±1°18° to 19°±11%23% to 34% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Exmouth

today, local time
Sunrise
06:35
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 13m

Common questions

What's the weather in Exmouth today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Exmouth today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Exmouth today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Exmouth and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Exmouth?
Over the last 30 days, the Met Office model has been the most accurate for Exmouth (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Exmouth?
August is typically the warmest month in Exmouth, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Exmouth get?
The coldest month in Exmouth is January, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Exmouth get?
Exmouth sees roughly 1179 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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