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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Glasgow weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Glasgow today. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

12°4°
10°7°
15°7°
15°8°
12°8°
12°9°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
8°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 11 mph · Humidity 89%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Light rain
Feels 3° · Wind 19 mph · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Light drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 15 mph · Humidity 85%

Latest for Glasgow: Met Office (UKMO model): 8° Heavy drizzle · European (ECMWF): 8° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Light drizzle.

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Glasgow weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Strathclyde

Checking the Met Office for warnings in force for Strathclyde…

Glasgow weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Glasgow swings 17°C across the year, from 18°C highs in July to 1°C lows in January, and January is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1386 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 3 days a year at 25°C or above, 47 frost nights, and rain on 192 days.

Warmest month
July
18°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
January
1386 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
626,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
87/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
3 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
47 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
192 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Glasgow’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Glasgow and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Glasgow in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Glasgow, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Glasgow hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

Loading the three models…

Glasgow 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
12° 4°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
10° 7°
models agree
Mon
Rain
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
15° 8°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
12° 8°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
12° 9°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
12° 9°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
11° 7°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
10° 8°
±2°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 4°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
7° 2°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
7° 2°
±3°
Thu
Cloudy
7° 1°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
7° 2°
±5°

Glasgow, Scotland. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Glasgow right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Glasgow's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Glasgow weather by month

what to expect in Glasgow through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Glasgow's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Glasgow by season.

Jan
6°
1°
Cold
Wettest
Feb
6°
1°
Cold
Mar
9°
2°
Cool
Apr
12°
4°
Cool
May
15°
7°
Mild
Jun
17°
9°
Mild
Jul
18°
11°
Mild
Aug
18°
11°
Mild
Sep
16°
9°
Mild
Oct
12°
6°
Cool
Nov
9°
3°
Cool
Dec
7°
3°
Cold

What Glasgow's weather is like through the year

Glasgow runs from warm summers, with July highs near 18°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 1°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Glasgow sees roughly 1386 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Glasgow

The most comfortable time to visit Glasgow is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.

How Glasgow's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Glasgow, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average1997: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1998: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2010: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Frost nights

8 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +16 vs the 30-year average1996: +38 vs the 30-year average1997: −11 vs the 30-year average1998: −3 vs the 30-year average1999: +2 vs the 30-year average2000: −10 vs the 30-year average2001: +29 vs the 30-year average2002: −20 vs the 30-year average2003: +0 vs the 30-year average2004: −9 vs the 30-year average2005: +0 vs the 30-year average2006: −1 vs the 30-year average2007: −20 vs the 30-year average2008: +5 vs the 30-year average2009: +1 vs the 30-year average2010: +48 vs the 30-year average2011: −18 vs the 30-year average2012: +6 vs the 30-year average2013: +23 vs the 30-year average2014: −30 vs the 30-year average2015: −11 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: +2 vs the 30-year average2018: +9 vs the 30-year average2019: −3 vs the 30-year average2020: −17 vs the 30-year average2021: +5 vs the 30-year average2022: −15 vs the 30-year average2023: −4 vs the 30-year average2024: −17 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: −1% vs the 30-year average1997: −1% vs the 30-year average1998: +6% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: −1% vs the 30-year average2003: −5% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +5% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +5% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −13% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −5% vs the 30-year average2013: +5% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: +8% vs the 30-year average2016: −3% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: +1% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: +6% vs the 30-year average2021: −11% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: +3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°C+16+3%
1996−1.0°C+38−1%
1997+0.3°C−11−1%
1998±0.0°C−3+6%
1999±0.0°C+2+5%
2000−0.1°C−10+1%
2001−0.5°C+29−5%
2002+0.1°C−20−1%
2003+0.3°C+0−5%
2004+0.4°C−9−1%
2005+0.3°C+0+5%
2006+0.5°C−1−1%
2007+0.4°C−20+3%
2008−0.1°C+5+5%
2009±0.0°C+1+1%
2010−1.3°C+48−13%
2011+0.2°C−18+1%
2012−0.6°C+6−5%
2013−0.5°C+23+5%
2014+0.5°C−30+1%
2015−0.4°C−11+8%
2016−0.2°C+1−3%
2017+0.1°C+2+1%
2018±0.0°C+9+1%
2019+0.2°C−3−3%
2020+0.3°C−17+6%
2021+0.3°C+5−11%
2022+0.9°C−15+3%
2023+0.8°C−4−5%
2024+0.6°C−17+3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Glasgow, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Glasgow?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
97±0.2°C95±1.7 mph7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C96±1.2 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
85
/100rank #3
92±0.4°C95±1.5 mph7184% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Glasgow, scoring 87/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 86. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°11° to 13°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 10°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±13%87% to 100% chance
Wed±3°10° to 13°±22%78% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Glasgow

today, local time
Sunrise
08:06
Sunset
17:54
Daylight
9h 48m

Common questions

What's the weather in Glasgow today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 12° in Glasgow today. Tomorrow: rain, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Glasgow today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Glasgow on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Glasgow?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Glasgow (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Glasgow?
July is typically the warmest month in Glasgow, with average highs around 18°C.
How cold does Glasgow get?
The coldest month in Glasgow is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Glasgow get?
Glasgow sees roughly 1386 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Glasgow?
The most comfortable time to visit Glasgow is usually June, July, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Glasgow?
Rarely - Glasgow very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Glasgow getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Glasgow, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More UK weather