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CheckWeather UKLeeds
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Leeds weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Leeds's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 19°, with a 58% chance of rain.

23°13°
19°16°
16°12°
18°11°
19°11°
20°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Heavy drizzle
Today 21°·Low 11°·Rain 86%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 14°·Rain 61%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Leeds and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
19° 16°
±3°
Tue
Rain
16° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
19° 11°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
20° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
20° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±6°
Tue
Light rain
18° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light rain
18° 11°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±9°
Fri
Light drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±4°

Leeds, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Leeds right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Leeds's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Leeds weather by month

what to expect in Leeds through the year

Here is Leeds's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Leeds by season.

Jan
Cold
Feb
Cool
Mar
Cool
Apr
12°
Cool
May
17°
Mild
Jun
19°
10°
Mild
Jul
19°
12°
Mild
Aug
19°
12°
Mild
Sep
18°
11°
Mild
Oct
14°
Cool
Wettest
Nov
Cool
Dec
Cool

What Leeds's weather is like through the year

Leeds runs from warm summers, with June highs near 19°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 17°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and Leeds sees roughly 995 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Leeds

The most comfortable time to visit Leeds is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Leeds?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C98±0.7 mph8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
80
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C96±1.1 mph6581% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C96±1.2 mph6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Leeds, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 80. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±25%61% to 86% chance
Tomorrow±3°18° to 20°±49%9% to 58% chance
Tue±2°16° to 17°±30%48% to 78% chance
Wed±2°17° to 19°±10%8% to 18% chance
Thu±3°17° to 20°±2%17% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Leeds

today, local time
Sunrise
06:23
Sunset
19:45
Daylight
13h 22m

Common questions

What's the weather in Leeds today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Leeds today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Leeds today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Leeds and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Leeds?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Leeds (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Leeds?
June is typically the warmest month in Leeds, with average highs around 19°C.
How cold does Leeds get?
The coldest month in Leeds is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Leeds get?
Leeds sees roughly 995 mm of precipitation a year, with October usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Leeds?
The most comfortable time to visit Leeds is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Leeds?
Rarely - Leeds very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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