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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Morley weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Morley today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain.

13°6°
10°8°
15°7°
16°9°
13°8°
12°8°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±3°
Met OfficeUKMO model
9°
Light drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 87%
EuropeanECMWF
8°
Light drizzle
Feels 4° · Wind 14 mph · Humidity 88%
AmericanNOAA GFS
9°
Light drizzle
Feels 5° · Wind 15 mph · Humidity 81%

Latest for Morley: Met Office (UKMO model): 9° Light drizzle · European (ECMWF): 8° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 9° Light drizzle.

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Morley weather warnings

Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for Yorkshire & Humber

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Morley weather in numbers

measured normals and 10 years of recorded weather

Morley swings 19°C across the year, from 20°C highs in August to 1°C lows in January, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1052 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 9 days a year at 25°C or above, 1 of them at 30°C or above, 33 frost nights, and rain on 153 days.

Warmest month
August
20°C average high
Coldest month
January
1°C average low
Wettest month
December
1052 mm a year
Comfortable
4 months
June, July, August and September
Residents
57,000
share this forecast
Most accurate here
European
96/100 CheckWeather Score
Warm days
9 days
a year at 25°C or above
Frost nights
33 nights
a year below 0°C
Rain days
153 days
a year with 1 mm or more

Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for Morley’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Morley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Morley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Morley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
13° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
10° 8°
models agree
Mon
Light rain
15° 7°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
16° 9°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
13° 8°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12° 8°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
12° 8°
models agree
Sat
Light rain
11° 7°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
11° 6°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
10° 6°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
8° 5°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
8° 2°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
8° 1°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
7° 2°
±6°

Morley, England is at its warmest in Aug (average highs near 20°C) and coldest in Jan (lows around 1°C), with roughly 1052 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Morley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Morley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
6°
1°
Feb
8°
2°
Mar
9°
2°
Apr
12°
5°
May
15°
7°
Jun
18°
10°
Jul
19°
12°
Aug
20°
13°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
13°
7°
Nov
9°
4°
Dec
7°
3°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Morley has changed since 1995

Morley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Oldham. That square ran 0.5°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Oldham page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Morley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C98±0.5 mph100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±1.6 mph5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
Met Office logo
Met Office
79
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C94±2.0 mph5877% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

Met OfficeUKMO model
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EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°12° to 13°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°9° to 11°±74%26% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±9%91% to 100% chance
Tue±1°15° to 16°±17%55% to 72% chance
Wed±1°12° to 14°±86%14% to 100% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Morley

today, local time
Sunrise
07:50
Sunset
17:49
Daylight
9h 59m

Common questions

What's the weather in Morley today?
Saturday 24 October: Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 13° in Morley today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 10°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Morley today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Morley on Sunday 25 October: Met Office 100%, European 100%, American 26%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Morley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Morley (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Morley?
August is typically the warmest month in Morley, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Morley get?
The coldest month in Morley is January, when overnight lows average about 1°C.
How much rain does Morley get?
Morley sees roughly 1052 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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