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CheckWeather UKManchester
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Manchester weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

Met Office, the European and the American model put Manchester's high today between 21° and 24°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks drizzle around 19°, with a 90% chance of rain.

23°13°
19°15°
16°11°
17°11°
18°11°
18°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowsplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
Met OfficeUKMO model
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain -
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Light drizzle
Today 21°·Low 12°·Rain 77%
AmericanNOAA GFS
24°
Light drizzle
Today 24°·Low 13°·Rain 41%

The weather map: all three models at once

Met Office, European, American side by side around Manchester and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
23° 13°
±3°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
19° 15°
±2°
Tue
Rain
16° 11°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 11°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 11°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
18° 13°
models agree
Sat
Heavy drizzle
18° 10°
±4°
Sun
Heavy drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±6°
Tue
Rain
17° 13°
models agree
Wed
Heavy drizzle
17° 11°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
18° 10°
±10°
Fri
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
±6°

Manchester, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for Manchester right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Manchester's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.

Manchester weather by month

what to expect in Manchester through the year

Here is Manchester's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Manchester by season.

Jan
Cool
Feb
10°
Cool
Mar
10°
Cool
Apr
12°
Cool
May
17°
Mild
Jun
20°
11°
Mild
Jul
19°
12°
Mild
Wettest
Aug
19°
12°
Mild
Sep
18°
12°
Mild
Oct
15°
Mild
Nov
10°
Cool
Dec
Cool

What Manchester's weather is like through the year

Manchester runs from warm summers, with June highs near 20°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). July is usually the wettest month, and Manchester sees roughly 1330 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Manchester

The most comfortable time to visit Manchester is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Manchester?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C98±0.8 mph8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
Met Office logo
Met Office
87
/100rank #2
91±0.5°C96±1.1 mph7687% hitMet Office (United Kingdom)Exeter, United Kingdom
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
85±0.8°C94±1.8 mph7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1880 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Manchester, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 87. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°21° to 24°±36%41% to 77% chance
Tomorrow±2°18° to 20°±59%31% to 90% chance
Tue±1°16° to 16°±21%74% to 95% chance
Wed±1°16° to 17°±12%50% to 62% chance
Thu±2°17° to 18°models agree44% to 44% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Manchester

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
19:47
Daylight
13h 20m

Common questions

What's the weather in Manchester today?
On this page we show what Met Office, European, American each forecast for Manchester today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Manchester today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from Met Office, European, American for Manchester and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Manchester?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Manchester (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the Met Office at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the UK accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Manchester?
June is typically the warmest month in Manchester, with average highs around 20°C.
How cold does Manchester get?
The coldest month in Manchester is January, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Manchester get?
Manchester sees roughly 1330 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Manchester?
The most comfortable time to visit Manchester is usually May, June, August and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest July rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Manchester?
Rarely - Manchester very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

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