London weather
Loading live data…Rain,rain likely tomorrow
Met Office, the European and the American model agree on a high near 16° in London today. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 14°, with a 100% chance of rain.
Latest for London: Met Office (UKMO model): 10° Drizzle · European (ECMWF): 10° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Overcast.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.London weather warnings
Met Office yellow, amber and red warnings for London & South East EnglandChecking the Met Office for warnings in force for London & South East England…
London weather in numbers
measured normals and 10 years of recorded weatherLondon swings 20°C across the year, from 22°C highs in July to 2°C lows in January, and October is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 661 mm of precipitation. Over 10 years of recorded weather it averages 21 days a year at 25°C or above, 4 of them at 30°C or above, 30 frost nights, and rain on 131 days.
Day counts are from the ERA5 reanalysis for London’s grid square, 2016 to 2025, counted the same way for every city so the numbers compare. A reanalysis square is an area, not a weather station, so it is good for counting days and not for a single day’s record.
The weather map: all three models at once
Met Office, European, American side by side around London and nearby towns.Live rain radar →London in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour
Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of London, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗What are you doing?
Where are you going?
London hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
London 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitLondon, England. Below we compare what Met Office, European, American forecast for London right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down London's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom before you trust any single number.
London weather by month
what to expect in London through the year, 1991-2020 averagesHere is London's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to London by season.
What London's weather is like through the year
London runs from warm summers, with July highs near 22°C, to cold winters, when January lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). October is usually the wettest month, and London sees roughly 661 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit London
The most comfortable time to visit London is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest October rain is behind you.
How London's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as changeAround London, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2022.
Days above 25°C
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
| Year | Temp vs average | Days >25°C vs avg | Frost nights vs avg | Wind vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | −0.2°C | +13 | +13 | +1% |
| 1996 | −1.4°C | −2 | +25 | −1% |
| 1997 | +0.1°C | +5 | −4 | −3% |
| 1998 | −0.3°C | −11 | −1 | +5% |
| 1999 | +0.1°C | +0 | −9 | +1% |
| 2000 | −0.2°C | −12 | −2 | +3% |
| 2001 | −0.6°C | +0 | +19 | −3% |
| 2002 | +0.2°C | −7 | −19 | +1% |
| 2003 | −0.1°C | +5 | +6 | −7% |
| 2004 | ±0.0°C | −4 | −1 | −3% |
| 2005 | +0.1°C | +6 | +3 | −3% |
| 2006 | +0.6°C | +16 | +10 | +1% |
| 2007 | +0.2°C | −14 | −11 | +1% |
| 2008 | −0.2°C | −6 | −2 | +5% |
| 2009 | ±0.0°C | −8 | +6 | −3% |
| 2010 | −1.4°C | −5 | +47 | −7% |
| 2011 | +0.4°C | −4 | −10 | +1% |
| 2012 | −0.6°C | −6 | −5 | −1% |
| 2013 | −1.0°C | −1 | +25 | −1% |
| 2014 | +0.7°C | −7 | −30 | −1% |
| 2015 | ±0.0°C | −10 | −4 | +7% |
| 2016 | ±0.0°C | −1 | +4 | −3% |
| 2017 | +0.3°C | −4 | −0 | −1% |
| 2018 | +0.5°C | +20 | −5 | −3% |
| 2019 | +0.2°C | +0 | −8 | −1% |
| 2020 | +0.6°C | +2 | −21 | +9% |
| 2021 | −0.2°C | −5 | +11 | −5% |
| 2022 | +1.2°C | +24 | −9 | −3% |
| 2023 | +0.9°C | +9 | −3 | +3% |
| 2024 | +0.8°C | +2 | −22 | −1% |
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around London, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in London?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1950 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in United Kingdom, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for London, scoring 93/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the Met Office at 86. See the full UK accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in United Kingdom? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.