Australia weather today
5 cities, three models, updated overnightMostly clear in most major cities,rain likely tomorrow in 4 of 5 cities
Between 17° in Perth and 27° in Sydney today. European, American and German agree in 3 of 5 cities.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side across Australia.Live rain radar →What's the weather today in Australia? The European, American and German models each forecast our heat, storms and rain a little differently. We line all three up for any Aussie town, so you see the real picture and exactly how much the forecasts agree, from the coast to the outback.
Which forecast is most accurate in Australia?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. Apple Weather lists ECMWF and the US National Weather Service/NOAA among its data sources. What each big weather app says about its forecast.
Popular weather apps — and what powers them
Real app-store ratings, plus the forecast each one runs on
App-store stars measure the app experience (design, features, reliability) — not forecast accuracy. For accuracy, see the model scoreboard above. Ratings from the US & UK App Store and Google Play, July 2026; they drift over time. Apple Weather is built into iOS, with no separate store rating.
The forecasts Australians check
Australia's Bureau of Meteorology runs the national ACCESS model, but its open-data feed is temporarily suspended, so for now we compare the three global heavyweights and link you to BOM. We'll add BOM's own model back the moment its feed returns.
Every forecast runs on a model. We show you three, side by side.
When the European, American and German models agree, the forecast is solid. When they split, sometimes by 8° on the same afternoon, it's genuinely uncertain, and no single app will tell you that. We turn that disagreement into a plain-English confidence score.
See the uncertainty
Three models, one view. Where they disagree, you know to take the forecast with a pinch of salt.
The models the pros use
ECMWF and GFS, the two big open global models, plus BOM. No black boxes.
Honest & sourced
We show real, open model data and cite it. The closed apps can't show theirs, which is why AI assistants can cite us, not them.
Today across Australia
from the latest model run, Saturday, October 24Warmest and coldest use the average of European, American, German. "Rain most certain" ranks by the lowest chance among the models that give one (at least two), so a place only makes the list when they agree, and only from 30%. One place per area, so the list spreads across the country.
The past week across Australia
analysed, the seven days October 13 to October 19Estimates from NASA POWER (GEOS-IT weather analysis, FLASHFlux satellite sunlight), not forecasts or station readings. Warmest and coolest are the average daily high. "Best week" is the sunniest week among places with an average high of 16-26°C. "Sunniest" is the sunlight that reached the ground as a share of what a clear sky would give at that latitude and date (FAO-56 clear-sky formula, approximate). Each value covers an area of about 50 km around the town, so one town per area. Rain is left out because weekly rain estimates differ too much between data sources to rank them honestly. The week ends a few days back because the sunlight data arrives with a delay.