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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUArmidale
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Armidale weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 19° in Armidale today. Tomorrow looks clear around 19°, with a 0% chance of rain.

19°
19°
16°
17°
14°
16°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°Fridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Clear
Feels 15° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 36%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 21%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Clear
Feels 16° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 33%

Latest for Armidale: European (ECMWF): 17° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 17° Clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Armidale and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
19°
models agree
Tue
Fog
16°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
16°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
18°
±3°
Sun
Mostly clear
19°
±2°
Mon
Clear
20°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
19°
±6°
Thu
Partly cloudy
15°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
20°
±2°
Sat
Mostly clear
23°
models agree

Armidale is a small town of about 21,000 people in New South Wales, sitting at 30.5°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Armidale with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Glen Innes, East Tamworth, North Tamworth.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Armidale?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C98±1.1 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
88
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C95±2.3 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
75±1.4°C96±2.0 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 20°±20%0% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±1°19° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°15° to 18°±9%0% to 9% chance
Wed±2°16° to 18°±22%1% to 23% chance
Thu±4°12° to 16°±10%9% to 19% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Armidale

today, local time
Sunrise
06:03
Sunset
17:40
Daylight
11h 37m

Common questions

What's the weather in Armidale today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Armidale today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Armidale today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Armidale and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Armidale?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Armidale (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the German at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather