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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUBrisbane
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Brisbane weather

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Cloudy,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Brisbane's high today between 32° and 35°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 25°, with a 3% chance of rain.

34°17°
25°15°
24°15°
25°13°
22°15°
22°13°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
32°
Cloudy
Today 32°·Low 17°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
35°
Cloudy
Today 35°·Low 18°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
35°
Fog
Today 35°·Low 16°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Brisbane and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
34° 17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
25° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
24° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
25° 13°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
22° 13°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
27° 14°
±5°
Wed
Cloudy
26° 16°
±8°
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Sat
Clear
26° 13°
±6°

Brisbane, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Brisbane right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Brisbane's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Brisbane weather by month

what to expect in Brisbane through the year

Here is Brisbane's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Brisbane by season.

Jan
29°
20°
Hot
Feb
29°
20°
Hot
Mar
28°
20°
Warm
Apr
26°
16°
Warm
May
23°
12°
Warm
Jun
22°
10°
Warm
Jul
21°
10°
Mild
Aug
24°
12°
Warm
Sep
26°
13°
Warm
Oct
27°
15°
Warm
Nov
28°
18°
Warm
Wettest
Dec
30°
20°
Hot

What Brisbane's weather is like through the year

Brisbane runs from warm summers, with December highs near 30°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 10°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). November is usually the wettest month, and Brisbane sees roughly 1189 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Brisbane

The most comfortable time to visit Brisbane is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Brisbane?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
85
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C97±1.5 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
74±1.4°C91±4.3 km/t5877% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Brisbane, scoring 92/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 85. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°32° to 35°±2%0% to 2% chance
Tomorrow±1°25° to 26°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±2°23° to 25°±44%8% to 52% chance
Wed±3°23° to 26°±11%1% to 12% chance
Thu±3°21° to 23°±36%9% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Brisbane

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:36
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Brisbane today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Brisbane today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Brisbane today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Brisbane and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Brisbane?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Brisbane (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Brisbane?
December is typically the warmest month in Brisbane, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Brisbane get?
The coldest month in Brisbane is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Brisbane get?
Brisbane sees roughly 1189 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Brisbane?
The most comfortable time to visit Brisbane is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest November rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Brisbane?
Rarely - Brisbane very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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