Cloudy,cooler tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Brisbane central business district's high today between 32° and 35°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 25°, with a 3% chance of rain.
Brisbane central business district is a small town of about 9,460 people in Queensland, sitting at 27.5°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Brisbane central business district with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Brisbane, Kangaroo Point, Spring Hill.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.