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CheckWeather AU›Fortitude Valley
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Fortitude Valley weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Fortitude Valley today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain.

25°19°
25°20°
31°20°
30°19°
28°19°
24°19°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 97%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 96%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Light rain
Feels 23° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 95%

Latest for Fortitude Valley: European (ECMWF): 20° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light rain.

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Fortitude Valley weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Fortitude Valley swings 20°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 9°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1055 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
February
1055 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
9,708
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Fortitude Valley and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Fortitude Valley hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Fortitude Valley 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
25° 19°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
25° 20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
31° 20°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
30° 19°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
28° 19°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 19°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 19°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
30° 19°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 17°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 18°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
29° 17°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 18°
models agree

Fortitude Valley, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1055 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Fortitude Valley right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Fortitude Valley climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
20°
Feb
28°
19°
Mar
27°
19°
Apr
25°
15°
May
23°
12°
Jun
22°
10°
Jul
20°
9°
Aug
22°
10°
Sep
25°
12°
Oct
26°
14°
Nov
27°
17°
Dec
29°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Fortitude Valley has changed since 1995

Fortitude Valley sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Brisbane. That square shows no clear change in temperature between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024. See the full 30-year picture on the Brisbane page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Fortitude Valley?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C99±0.6 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
76
/100rank #2
83±1.0°C98±1.2 km/h5374% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
72
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C89±5.6 km/h4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 25°±7%93% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 26°±12%88% to 100% chance
Mon±1°31° to 32°±12%59% to 71% chance
Tue±2°29° to 31°±27%13% to 40% chance
Wed±4°25° to 29°±27%18% to 45% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Fortitude Valley

today, local time
Sunrise
05:03
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
12h 58m

Common questions

What's the weather in Fortitude Valley today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 25° in Fortitude Valley today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Fortitude Valley today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Fortitude Valley on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 88% (European 100%, American 94%, German 88%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Fortitude Valley?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Fortitude Valley (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the German at 76. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Fortitude Valley?
January is typically the warmest month in Fortitude Valley, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Fortitude Valley get?
The coldest month in Fortitude Valley is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Fortitude Valley get?
Fortitude Valley sees roughly 1055 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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