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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Perth weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Perth's high today between 16° and 18°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 19°, with a 29% chance of rain.

17°8°
19°7°
21°10°
26°12°
28°14°
29°15°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Mainly clear
Feels 9° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Feels 10° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 46%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Mainly clear
Feels 11° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 46%

Latest for Perth: European (ECMWF): 14° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 15° Mainly clear.

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Perth weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Perth swings 21°C across the year, from 31°C highs in February to 10°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 780 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
31°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
June
780 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, July and August
Residents
2.4 million
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Perth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Perth in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Perth, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Perth hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Perth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
17° 8°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19° 7°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
21° 10°
±4°
Tue
Clear
26° 12°
models agree
Wed
Clear
28° 14°
models agree
Thu
Mostly clear
29° 15°
±5°
Fri
Mostly clear
25° 14°
±5°
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 14°
±5°
Sun
Drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
23° 13°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 13°
models agree

Perth, Western Australia. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Perth right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Perth's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Perth weather by month

what to expect in Perth through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Perth's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Perth by season.

Jan
29°
18°
Hot
Feb
31°
19°
Hot
Mar
29°
18°
Hot
Apr
25°
15°
Warm
May
22°
12°
Warm
Jun
17°
10°
Mild
Wettest
Jul
17°
10°
Mild
Aug
17°
10°
Mild
Sep
19°
11°
Mild
Oct
22°
12°
Warm
Nov
26°
15°
Warm
Dec
28°
18°
Warm

What Perth's weather is like through the year

Perth runs from warm summers, with February highs near 31°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 10°C (a swing of about 21°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Perth sees roughly 780 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Perth

The most comfortable time to visit Perth is usually April, May, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

How Perth's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.1°C

Around Perth, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.1°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1996: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2010: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2012: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2019: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

1 more day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +0 vs the 30-year average1996: +2 vs the 30-year average1997: −3 vs the 30-year average1998: +1 vs the 30-year average1999: +1 vs the 30-year average2000: −5 vs the 30-year average2001: −9 vs the 30-year average2002: +1 vs the 30-year average2003: −4 vs the 30-year average2004: +1 vs the 30-year average2005: −8 vs the 30-year average2006: +0 vs the 30-year average2007: −3 vs the 30-year average2008: +0 vs the 30-year average2009: −2 vs the 30-year average2010: +7 vs the 30-year average2011: +12 vs the 30-year average2012: +9 vs the 30-year average2013: +0 vs the 30-year average2014: −1 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: −3 vs the 30-year average2017: −6 vs the 30-year average2018: −12 vs the 30-year average2019: −4 vs the 30-year average2020: −3 vs the 30-year average2021: +4 vs the 30-year average2022: +7 vs the 30-year average2023: +6 vs the 30-year average2024: +9 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4% vs the 30-year average1996: +9% vs the 30-year average1997: +1% vs the 30-year average1998: +1% vs the 30-year average1999: +4% vs the 30-year average2000: +2% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +4% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: −4% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: −4% vs the 30-year average2013: −4% vs the 30-year average2014: −2% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: +1% vs the 30-year average2019: −4% vs the 30-year average2020: −1% vs the 30-year average2021: +1% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: +1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995±0.0°C+0+4%
1996+0.3°C+2+9%
1997−0.1°C−3+1%
1998±0.0°C+1+1%
1999+0.5°C+1+4%
2000+0.1°C−5+2%
2001−0.4°C−9−4%
2002−0.4°C+1+1%
2003−0.3°C−4+1%
2004−0.4°C+1−1%
2005−0.9°C−8+1%
2006−0.2°C+0−1%
2007−0.4°C−3+4%
2008−0.2°C+0+1%
2009−0.2°C−2+2%
2010±0.0°C+7−4%
2011+0.8°C+12−1%
2012+0.3°C+9−4%
2013+0.4°C+0−4%
2014+0.2°C−1−2%
2015+0.1°C−3−4%
2016−0.8°C−3−2%
2017−0.2°C−6−1%
2018−0.3°C−12+1%
2019±0.0°C−4−4%
2020+0.3°C−3−1%
2021+0.1°C+4+1%
2022+0.1°C+7−1%
2023+0.4°C+6−2%
2024+0.9°C+9+1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Perth, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Perth?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
79±1.2°C95±2.7 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C93±3.5 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #3
73±1.5°C95±2.7 km/h7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Perth, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 81. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°16° to 18°±37%48% to 85% chance
Tomorrow±1°18° to 19°±26%3% to 29% chance
Mon±4°19° to 23°±63%17% to 80% chance
Tue±2°25° to 27°±9%0% to 9% chance
Wed±1°27° to 28°±24%4% to 28% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Perth

today, local time
Sunrise
05:26
Sunset
18:34
Daylight
13h 8m

Common questions

What's the weather in Perth today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Perth's high today between 16° and 18°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: cloudy, around 19°, with a 29% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Perth today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Perth on Sunday 25 October: European 29%, American 10%, German 3%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 85%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Perth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Perth (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Perth?
February is typically the warmest month in Perth, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Perth get?
The coldest month in Perth is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Perth get?
Perth sees roughly 780 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Perth?
The most comfortable time to visit Perth is usually April, May, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Perth?
Rarely - Perth very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Perth getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Perth, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.1°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More AU weather