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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Adelaide weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Adelaide today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 6% chance of rain.

16°
17°
17°
14°
17°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low 10°·Rain 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Mostly clear
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 10%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Adelaide and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Thu
Clear
17°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
18°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
22°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
23° 14°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
21° 10°
±5°

Adelaide, South Australia. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Adelaide right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Adelaide's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Adelaide weather by month

what to expect in Adelaide through the year

Here is Adelaide's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Adelaide by season.

Jan
27°
16°
Warm
Feb
28°
16°
Warm
Mar
26°
15°
Warm
Apr
20°
12°
Mild
May
18°
Mild
Jun
15°
Mild
Wettest
Jul
14°
Cool
Aug
17°
Mild
Sep
19°
Mild
Oct
21°
11°
Mild
Nov
24°
13°
Warm
Dec
25°
15°
Warm

What Adelaide's weather is like through the year

Adelaide runs from warm summers, with February highs near 28°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 8°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Adelaide sees roughly 591 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Adelaide

The most comfortable time to visit Adelaide is usually March, April, May and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Adelaide?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C94±3.2 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C92±3.8 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Adelaide, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 84. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±49%0% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±3°15° to 18°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±8%2% to 10% chance
Wed±3°12° to 15°±9%3% to 12% chance
Thu±3°16° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Adelaide

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Adelaide today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Adelaide today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Adelaide today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Adelaide and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Adelaide?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Adelaide (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Adelaide?
February is typically the warmest month in Adelaide, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Adelaide get?
The coldest month in Adelaide is July, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Adelaide get?
Adelaide sees roughly 591 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Adelaide?
The most comfortable time to visit Adelaide is usually March, April, May and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Adelaide?
Rarely - Adelaide very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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