Cloudy,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Adelaide today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 6% chance of rain.
Adelaide, South Australia. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Adelaide right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Adelaide's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Here is Adelaide's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Adelaide by season.
Adelaide runs from warm summers, with February highs near 28°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 8°C (a swing of about 20°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Adelaide sees roughly 591 mm of precipitation annually.
The most comfortable time to visit Adelaide is usually March, April, May and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the German model has been the most accurate forecast for Adelaide, scoring 89/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the European at 84. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.