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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Adelaide weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 26° in Adelaide today. Tomorrow: rain, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

26°13°
16°9°
16°8°
19°8°
21°8°
22°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±5°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Feels 17° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 88%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Overcast
Feels 20° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 80%

Latest for Adelaide: European (ECMWF): 16° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 19° Overcast.

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Adelaide weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Adelaide swings 21°C across the year, from 28°C highs in February to 7°C lows in August, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 706 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
28°C average high
Coldest month
August
7°C average low
Wettest month
June
706 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and September
Residents
1.5 million
share this forecast

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Adelaide and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Adelaide in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Adelaide, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Adelaide hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Adelaide 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
26° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Rain
16° 9°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
16° 8°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
19° 8°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
21° 8°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
22° 11°
±5°
Fri
Light rain
18° 14°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 11°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
26° 11°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
20° 12°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
25° 11°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
29° 13°
±7°

Adelaide, South Australia. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Adelaide right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Adelaide's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Adelaide weather by month

what to expect in Adelaide through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Adelaide's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Adelaide by season.

Jan
27°
16°
Warm
Feb
28°
16°
Warm
Mar
25°
14°
Warm
Apr
21°
13°
Mild
May
18°
9°
Mild
Jun
14°
8°
Cool
Wettest
Jul
14°
8°
Cool
Aug
15°
7°
Mild
Sep
17°
7°
Mild
Oct
20°
10°
Mild
Nov
23°
12°
Warm
Dec
24°
14°
Warm

What Adelaide's weather is like through the year

Adelaide runs from warm summers, with February highs near 28°C, to cold winters, when August lows sit around 7°C (a swing of about 21°C across the year). June is usually the wettest month, and Adelaide sees roughly 706 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Adelaide

The most comfortable time to visit Adelaide is usually March, April, May and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.

How Adelaide's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C

Around Adelaide, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2018.

1995: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

1 more day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5 vs the 30-year average1996: −11 vs the 30-year average1997: −1 vs the 30-year average1998: −2 vs the 30-year average1999: +3 vs the 30-year average2000: +7 vs the 30-year average2001: +11 vs the 30-year average2002: −4 vs the 30-year average2003: −3 vs the 30-year average2004: +0 vs the 30-year average2005: −3 vs the 30-year average2006: −4 vs the 30-year average2007: −1 vs the 30-year average2008: +1 vs the 30-year average2009: +11 vs the 30-year average2010: −4 vs the 30-year average2011: −11 vs the 30-year average2012: −6 vs the 30-year average2013: +1 vs the 30-year average2014: +2 vs the 30-year average2015: +8 vs the 30-year average2016: −6 vs the 30-year average2017: +9 vs the 30-year average2018: +5 vs the 30-year average2019: +15 vs the 30-year average2020: −8 vs the 30-year average2021: −4 vs the 30-year average2022: −12 vs the 30-year average2023: −1 vs the 30-year average2024: −1 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4% vs the 30-year average1996: +6% vs the 30-year average1997: −6% vs the 30-year average1998: −4% vs the 30-year average1999: −4% vs the 30-year average2000: −1% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +6% vs the 30-year average2003: +4% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +4% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −6% vs the 30-year average2011: −4% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: −4% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: +4% vs the 30-year average2017: −1% vs the 30-year average2018: +4% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: +1% vs the 30-year average2021: +1% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: +1% vs the 30-year average2024: −4% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.9°C−5+4%
1996−1.0°C−11+6%
1997−0.4°C−1−6%
1998−0.5°C−2−4%
1999±0.0°C+3−4%
2000+0.1°C+7−1%
2001−0.3°C+11−1%
2002−0.4°C−4+6%
2003−0.6°C−3+4%
2004−0.4°C+0+1%
2005−0.2°C−3+1%
2006−0.4°C−4−1%
2007+0.3°C−1+4%
2008−0.3°C+1+1%
2009+0.5°C+11+1%
2010−0.2°C−4−6%
2011−0.1°C−11−4%
2012−0.1°C−6−1%
2013+0.4°C+1+1%
2014+0.4°C+2−4%
2015+0.2°C+8−4%
2016+0.1°C−6+4%
2017+0.8°C+9−1%
2018+0.9°C+5+4%
2019+0.8°C+15+1%
2020−0.5°C−8+1%
2021−0.3°C−4+1%
2022−0.2°C−12−1%
2023+0.2°C−1+1%
2024+0.8°C−1−4%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Adelaide, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Adelaide?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
78±1.2°C94±3.0 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
83
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C95±2.7 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
78±1.2°C95±2.7 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Adelaide, scoring 86/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 83. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°25° to 27°±14%86% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°15° to 17°±2%98% to 100% chance
Mon±3°14° to 17°±29%11% to 40% chance
Tue±1°18° to 19°±7%16% to 23% chance
Wed±4°19° to 23°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Adelaide

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Adelaide today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 26° in Adelaide today. Tomorrow: rain, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Adelaide today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Adelaide on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 98% (European 100%, American 98%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Adelaide?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Adelaide (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the German at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Adelaide?
February is typically the warmest month in Adelaide, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Adelaide get?
The coldest month in Adelaide is August, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Adelaide get?
Adelaide sees roughly 706 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Adelaide?
The most comfortable time to visit Adelaide is usually March, April, May and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest June rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Adelaide?
Rarely - Adelaide very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Adelaide getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Adelaide, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

More AU weather