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CheckWeather AUAdelaide city centre
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Adelaide city centre weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Adelaide city centre today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 6% chance of rain.

16°
17°
17°
14°
17°
21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Overcast
Feels 12° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 70%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Feels 12° · Wind 9 km/h · Humidity 58%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Mainly clear
Feels 11° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 67%

Latest for Adelaide city centre: European (ECMWF): 15° Overcast · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Adelaide city centre and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Thu
Clear
17°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
21°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
18°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
22°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
23° 14°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
21° 10°
±5°

Adelaide city centre is a small town of about 20,000 people in South Australia, sitting at 34.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Adelaide city centre with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Adelaide, Norwood, North Adelaide.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Adelaide city centre?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C94±3.2 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C92±3.8 km/t7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±49%0% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±3°15° to 18°±3%3% to 6% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±8%2% to 10% chance
Wed±3°12° to 15°±9%3% to 12% chance
Thu±3°16° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Adelaide city centre

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Adelaide city centre today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Adelaide city centre today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Adelaide city centre today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Adelaide city centre and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Adelaide city centre?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Adelaide city centre (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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