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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Magill weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Magill today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 16°, with a 10% chance of rain.

16°
16°
16°
13°
17°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Partly cloudy
Feels 12° · Wind 17 km/h · Humidity 66%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Clear
Feels 14° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 52%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Mainly clear
Feels 13° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 63%

Latest for Magill: European (ECMWF): 15° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 16° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 15° Mainly clear.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Magill and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13°
±3°
Thu
Clear
17°
±3°
Fri
Mostly clear
20°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±6°
Mon
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
16°
±3°
Wed
Partly cloudy
18°
±4°
Thu
Partly cloudy
21°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
23° 13°
±9°
Sat
Cloudy
20° 10°
±5°

Magill is a small town of about 8,690 people in South Australia, sitting at 34.9°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Magill with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Rostrevor, Adelaide Hills, Campbelltown.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Magill?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C95±2.3 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C96±1.8 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
76
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C97±1.7 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°14° to 16°±49%0% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±3°15° to 18°±4%6% to 10% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±3%2% to 5% chance
Wed±3°12° to 15°±8%5% to 13% chance
Thu±3°15° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Magill

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Magill today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Magill today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Magill today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Magill and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Magill?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Magill (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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