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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUParadise
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Paradise weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Paradise today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 17°, with a 4% chance of rain.

16°10°
17°
16°
14°
17°
20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low 10°·Rain 71%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 3%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low 11°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Paradise and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
16°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Thu
Clear
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 11°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
22° 13°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Wed
Clear
19°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
22°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 13°
±9°
Sat
Partly cloudy
20° 11°
±5°

Paradise, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 7°C), with roughly 764 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Paradise right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Paradise climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
16°
Feb
29°
16°
Mar
27°
15°
Apr
20°
11°
May
18°
Jun
15°
Jul
14°
Aug
17°
Sep
19°
Oct
22°
10°
Nov
25°
13°
Dec
26°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Paradise?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
95
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C96±1.9 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C97±1.7 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
77
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C97±1.6 km/t4771% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 16°±71%0% to 71% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 18°±1%3% to 4% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±8%0% to 8% chance
Wed±2°13° to 15°±5%0% to 5% chance
Thu±2°17° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Paradise

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Paradise today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Paradise today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Paradise today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Paradise and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Paradise?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Paradise (CheckWeather Score 95/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Paradise?
January is typically the warmest month in Paradise, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Paradise get?
The coldest month in Paradise is July, when overnight lows average about 7°C.
How much rain does Paradise get?
Paradise sees roughly 764 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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