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CheckWeather AU›Adelaide Hills
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Adelaide Hills weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Adelaide Hills's high today between 23° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°11°
13°6°
13°6°
17°5°
19°6°
19°8°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
12°
Light rain
Feels 11° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Overcast
Feels 9° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 91%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Showers
Feels 13° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 84%

Latest for Adelaide Hills: European (ECMWF): 12° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 14° Showers.

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Adelaide Hills weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Adelaide Hills swings 21°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 5°C lows in June, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 734 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
June
5°C average low
Wettest month
June
734 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
72,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Adelaide Hills and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Adelaide Hills hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Adelaide Hills 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
24° 11°
±3°
Tomorrow
Rain
13° 6°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
13° 6°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
17° 5°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
19° 6°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 8°
±4°
Fri
Light rain
16° 11°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
18° 9°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
20° 8°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
23° 8°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
18° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
17° 10°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 8°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 10°
±7°

Adelaide Hills, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 5°C), with roughly 734 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Adelaide Hills right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Adelaide Hills climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
13°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
22°
12°
Apr
19°
10°
May
15°
7°
Jun
11°
5°
Jul
12°
6°
Aug
13°
5°
Sep
15°
5°
Oct
18°
7°
Nov
21°
9°
Dec
23°
11°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Adelaide Hills has changed since 1995

Adelaide Hills sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Adelaide. That square ran 0.7°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Adelaide page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Adelaide Hills?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C97±1.3 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C95±2.3 km/h8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
84±0.9°C94±3.1 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°23° to 25°±20%78% to 98% chance
Tomorrow±2°12° to 14°models agree100% to 100% chance
Mon±3°12° to 15°±27%13% to 40% chance
Tue±3°16° to 18°±13%22% to 35% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°±12%0% to 12% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Adelaide Hills

today, local time
Sunrise
06:21
Sunset
19:37
Daylight
13h 16m

Common questions

What's the weather in Adelaide Hills today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Adelaide Hills's high today between 23° and 25°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 13°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Adelaide Hills today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Adelaide Hills on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 100% (European 100%, American 100%, German 100%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 98%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Adelaide Hills?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Adelaide Hills (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Adelaide Hills?
January is typically the warmest month in Adelaide Hills, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Adelaide Hills get?
The coldest month in Adelaide Hills is June, when overnight lows average about 5°C.
How much rain does Adelaide Hills get?
Adelaide Hills sees roughly 734 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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