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CheckWeather AUAdelaide Hills
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Adelaide Hills weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Adelaide Hills's high today between 12° and 15°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 14°, with a 10% chance of rain.

14°
14°
15°
11°
14°
18°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 49%
AmericanNOAA GFS
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
12°
Cloudy
Today 12°·Low ·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Adelaide Hills and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
11°
models agree
Thu
Clear
14°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
18°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
20°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 11°
±5°
Mon
Light drizzle
15°
±5°
Tue
Cloudy
14°
±4°
Wed
Partly cloudy
16°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
19°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
20° 12°
±8°
Sat
Cloudy
18°
±5°

Adelaide Hills, South Australia is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 6°C), with roughly 779 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Adelaide Hills right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Adelaide Hills climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
13°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
23°
13°
Apr
18°
May
15°
Jun
12°
Jul
12°
Aug
15°
Sep
17°
Oct
19°
Nov
22°
10°
Dec
24°
12°

Which forecast is most accurate in Adelaide Hills?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
96
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.0 km/t9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #2
89±0.6°C96±2.0 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
78
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C94±3.1 km/t5374% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°12° to 15°±49%0% to 49% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 15°±4%6% to 10% chance
Tue±2°14° to 15°±3%2% to 5% chance
Wed±2°10° to 12°±8%5% to 13% chance
Thu±2°14° to 15°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Adelaide Hills

today, local time
Sunrise
06:27
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Adelaide Hills today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Adelaide Hills today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Adelaide Hills today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Adelaide Hills and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Adelaide Hills?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Adelaide Hills (CheckWeather Score 96/100), ahead of the German at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Adelaide Hills?
January is typically the warmest month in Adelaide Hills, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Adelaide Hills get?
The coldest month in Adelaide Hills is June, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Adelaide Hills get?
Adelaide Hills sees roughly 779 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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