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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Inverell weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Inverell today. Tomorrow: showers, around 22°, with a 100% chance of rain.

24°14°
22°17°
23°15°
23°10°
23°11°
24°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±3°Mondaysplit ±2°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±3°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
18°
Mainly clear
Feels 18° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 93%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Overcast
Feels 17° · Wind 15 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
18°
Overcast
Feels 19° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 86%

Latest for Inverell: European (ECMWF): 18° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 17° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 18° Overcast.

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Inverell weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Inverell swings 26°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 2°C lows in July, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 778 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
2°C average low
Wettest month
December
778 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and August
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Inverell and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Inverell hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Inverell 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
24° 14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
22° 17°
±3°
Mon
Thunderstorm
23° 15°
±2°
Tue
Cloudy
23° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
23° 11°
±3°
Thu
Partly cloudy
24° 11°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
21° 13°
±5°
Sat
Light rain
23° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
24° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±2°
Wed
Heavy drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±5°
Fri
Partly cloudy
26° 12°
±3°

Inverell, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 2°C), with roughly 778 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Inverell right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Inverell climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
16°
Feb
28°
15°
Mar
25°
13°
Apr
22°
11°
May
18°
6°
Jun
15°
3°
Jul
14°
2°
Aug
16°
3°
Sep
20°
5°
Oct
22°
8°
Nov
24°
12°
Dec
27°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Inverell's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.6°C

Around Inverell, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.6°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average1996: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average1997: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2007: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2019: +1.7°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2021: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.0°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.3°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

18 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −32 vs the 30-year average1996: −31 vs the 30-year average1997: −11 vs the 30-year average1998: +23 vs the 30-year average1999: −19 vs the 30-year average2000: −9 vs the 30-year average2001: −6 vs the 30-year average2002: +14 vs the 30-year average2003: +11 vs the 30-year average2004: −15 vs the 30-year average2005: +7 vs the 30-year average2006: +13 vs the 30-year average2007: −12 vs the 30-year average2008: −29 vs the 30-year average2009: +20 vs the 30-year average2010: −21 vs the 30-year average2011: −20 vs the 30-year average2012: −25 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: +26 vs the 30-year average2015: +4 vs the 30-year average2016: +13 vs the 30-year average2017: +13 vs the 30-year average2018: +24 vs the 30-year average2019: +56 vs the 30-year average2020: +0 vs the 30-year average2021: −28 vs the 30-year average2022: −22 vs the 30-year average2023: +19 vs the 30-year average2024: +29 vs the 30-year average

Frost nights

6 fewer nights a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +16 vs the 30-year average1996: −1 vs the 30-year average1997: +2 vs the 30-year average1998: +1 vs the 30-year average1999: −2 vs the 30-year average2000: +8 vs the 30-year average2001: +1 vs the 30-year average2002: +2 vs the 30-year average2003: +1 vs the 30-year average2004: +9 vs the 30-year average2005: −1 vs the 30-year average2006: −7 vs the 30-year average2007: +3 vs the 30-year average2008: +4 vs the 30-year average2009: −5 vs the 30-year average2010: +5 vs the 30-year average2011: +3 vs the 30-year average2012: +4 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: −1 vs the 30-year average2015: +5 vs the 30-year average2016: −1 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: −2 vs the 30-year average2019: −0 vs the 30-year average2020: −7 vs the 30-year average2021: +1 vs the 30-year average2022: −6 vs the 30-year average2023: −8 vs the 30-year average2024: −4 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

+1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +4% vs the 30-year average1996: +4% vs the 30-year average1997: −8% vs the 30-year average1998: −5% vs the 30-year average1999: −2% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: +1% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: −2% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: −2% vs the 30-year average2008: +4% vs the 30-year average2009: +4% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: +1% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: −2% vs the 30-year average2015: −2% vs the 30-year average2016: +1% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: +4% vs the 30-year average2019: +4% vs the 30-year average2020: +1% vs the 30-year average2021: +1% vs the 30-year average2022: +7% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgFrost nights vs avgWind vs avg
1995−1.0°C−32+16+4%
1996−1.0°C−31−1+4%
1997±0.0°C−11+2−8%
1998+0.2°C+23+1−5%
1999−0.5°C−19−2−2%
2000−0.4°C−9+8+1%
2001−0.4°C−6+1+1%
2002+0.5°C+14+2+1%
2003−0.1°C+11+1+1%
2004+0.1°C−15+9−2%
2005+0.5°C+7−1+1%
2006+0.2°C+13−7−2%
2007±0.0°C−12+3−2%
2008−0.6°C−29+4+4%
2009+0.7°C+20−5+4%
2010−0.8°C−21+5−2%
2011−0.7°C−20+3−2%
2012−0.4°C−25+4+1%
2013+0.3°C−4−4+1%
2014+0.7°C+26−1−2%
2015−0.1°C+4+5−2%
2016+0.2°C+13−1+1%
2017+0.4°C+13−3−2%
2018+0.8°C+24−2+4%
2019+1.7°C+56−0+4%
2020+0.2°C+0−7+1%
2021−1.2°C−28+1+1%
2022−0.9°C−22−6+7%
2023+1.0°C+19−8−5%
2024+1.3°C+29−4−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Inverell, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Inverell?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C96±2.1 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
85
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C94±3.1 km/h8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #3
66±1.9°C94±3.2 km/h9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°23° to 25°±42%48% to 90% chance
Tomorrow±3°20° to 24°±20%80% to 100% chance
Mon±2°22° to 25°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tue±1°22° to 23°±7%0% to 7% chance
Wed±3°21° to 24°±21%3% to 24% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Inverell

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
19:11
Daylight
13h 2m

Common questions

What's the weather in Inverell today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 24° in Inverell today. Tomorrow: showers, around 22°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Inverell today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Inverell on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 80% (European 100%, American 97%, German 80%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 90%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Inverell?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Inverell (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the German at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Inverell?
January is typically the warmest month in Inverell, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Inverell get?
The coldest month in Inverell is July, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Inverell get?
Inverell sees roughly 778 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Inverell getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Inverell, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.6°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

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