Tamworth swings 28°C across the year, from 31°C highs in January to 3°C lows in July, and December is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 661 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
31°C average high
Coldest month
July
3°C average low
Wettest month
December
661 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, August and September
Residents
44,000
share this forecast
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Tamworth and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Tamworth hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Tamworth 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
27°14°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
26°18°
±3°
Mon
Thunderstorm
24°16°
±3°
Tue
Cloudy
23°12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
23°11°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
26°11°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24°14°
±4°
Sat
Showers
23°15°
±2°
Sun
Light drizzle
25°14°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
24°11°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
24°12°
models agree
Wed
Showers
23°16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
25°14°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
26°13°
±5°
Tamworth, New South Wales is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 31°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 3°C), with roughly 661 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Tamworth right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
17°
Feb
30°
17°
Mar
28°
15°
Apr
24°
12°
May
20°
8°
Jun
15°
4°
Jul
14°
3°
Aug
16°
3°
Sep
20°
5°
Oct
24°
9°
Nov
26°
13°
Dec
29°
15°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Tamworth's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C
Around Tamworth, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 35°C
11 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
2 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
no clear change
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >35°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.0°C
−19
+8
+6%
1996
−1.2°C
−20
+2
+1%
1997
−0.1°C
−10
−1
−4%
1998
−0.1°C
+6
+1
−4%
1999
−0.5°C
−10
−2
−2%
2000
−0.5°C
−13
−0
−4%
2001
−0.2°C
+6
−1
+1%
2002
+0.6°C
+5
+3
+4%
2003
−0.1°C
+13
+2
+4%
2004
−0.1°C
−1
−1
+1%
2005
+0.4°C
+4
−0
+4%
2006
+0.4°C
+17
−3
−2%
2007
±0.0°C
−5
+4
−4%
2008
−0.9°C
−20
+6
+1%
2009
+0.7°C
+18
−1
+4%
2010
−0.9°C
−19
+1
−2%
2011
−0.7°C
−10
+2
−2%
2012
−0.6°C
−18
−1
−2%
2013
+0.2°C
−1
−2
+1%
2014
+0.5°C
+19
−2
+1%
2015
−0.1°C
−11
+1
−2%
2016
+0.3°C
+9
+3
+1%
2017
+0.8°C
+19
−2
−2%
2018
+1.0°C
+19
−1
+4%
2019
+1.7°C
+51
−0
+1%
2020
+0.1°C
+7
−3
+1%
2021
−1.2°C
−23
−1
+1%
2022
−1.1°C
−22
−3
+1%
2023
+0.9°C
+6
−2
−4%
2024
+1.3°C
+11
−1
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Tamworth, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Tamworth?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C
96±2.1 km/h
8290% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
78
/100rank #2
73±1.5°C
95±2.6 km/h
7184% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American
77
/100rank #3
74±1.5°C
91±4.6 km/h
7184% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±2°26° to 28°
±66%33% to 99% chance
Tomorrow
±3°24° to 27°
±40%58% to 98% chance
Mon
±3°23° to 25°
±3%95% to 98% chance
Tue
±1°23° to 23°
±11%0% to 11% chance
Wed
±2°22° to 23°
±13%3% to 16% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Tamworth
today, local time
Sunrise
06:07
Sunset
19:13
Daylight
13h 6m
Common questions
What's the weather in Tamworth today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 27° in Tamworth today. Tomorrow: showers, around 26°, with a 98% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Tamworth today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Tamworth on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 58% (European 98%, American 90%, German 58%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 99%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Tamworth?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Tamworth (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the German at 78. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Tamworth?
January is typically the warmest month in Tamworth, with average highs around 31°C.
How cold does Tamworth get?
The coldest month in Tamworth is July, when overnight lows average about 3°C.
How much rain does Tamworth get?
Tamworth sees roughly 661 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.
Is Tamworth getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Tamworth, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.7°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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