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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bundaberg weather

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Showers,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Bundaberg today. Tomorrow: showers, around 26°, with a 98% chance of rain.

22°20°
26°20°
28°22°
31°21°
27°20°
26°20°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Drizzle
Feels 23° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 95%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Drizzle
Feels 22° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 97%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Light rain
Feels 24° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 94%

Latest for Bundaberg: European (ECMWF): 21° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light rain.

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Bundaberg weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bundaberg swings 18°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 11°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 973 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
29°C average high
Coldest month
July
11°C average low
Wettest month
February
973 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
74,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bundaberg and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bundaberg hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bundaberg 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Showers
22° 20°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
26° 20°
models agree
Mon
Showers
28° 22°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
31° 21°
±3°
Wed
Showers
27° 20°
models agree
Thu
Light rain
26° 20°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
25° 19°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
25° 21°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
31° 20°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
29° 19°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
26° 19°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 20°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
27° 19°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
28° 20°
models agree

Bundaberg, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 11°C), with roughly 973 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bundaberg right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bundaberg climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
23°
Feb
29°
21°
Mar
28°
21°
Apr
27°
18°
May
24°
14°
Jun
23°
12°
Jul
21°
11°
Aug
22°
12°
Sep
24°
15°
Oct
26°
17°
Nov
27°
20°
Dec
28°
21°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Bundaberg's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Bundaberg, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1997: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2006: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

2 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −4 vs the 30-year average1996: +12 vs the 30-year average1997: +1 vs the 30-year average1998: +33 vs the 30-year average1999: −22 vs the 30-year average2000: −19 vs the 30-year average2001: +17 vs the 30-year average2002: +29 vs the 30-year average2003: −15 vs the 30-year average2004: +0 vs the 30-year average2005: +17 vs the 30-year average2006: +13 vs the 30-year average2007: −14 vs the 30-year average2008: −9 vs the 30-year average2009: −11 vs the 30-year average2010: −24 vs the 30-year average2011: −33 vs the 30-year average2012: −20 vs the 30-year average2013: −5 vs the 30-year average2014: −3 vs the 30-year average2015: −8 vs the 30-year average2016: −5 vs the 30-year average2017: +20 vs the 30-year average2018: −8 vs the 30-year average2019: +25 vs the 30-year average2020: +5 vs the 30-year average2021: −8 vs the 30-year average2022: −13 vs the 30-year average2023: +20 vs the 30-year average2024: +25 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−5%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: +3% vs the 30-year average1998: −1% vs the 30-year average1999: +8% vs the 30-year average2000: +8% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: +1% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: −1% vs the 30-year average2010: −4% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: −1% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −6% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: +1% vs the 30-year average2020: −4% vs the 30-year average2021: −6% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.1°C−4+3%
1996−0.2°C+12+3%
1997±0.0°C+1+3%
1998+0.5°C+33−1%
1999−0.6°C−22+8%
2000−0.5°C−19+8%
2001+0.3°C+17−1%
2002+0.3°C+29+3%
2003±0.0°C−15+1%
2004+0.2°C+0−1%
2005+0.5°C+17+1%
2006±0.0°C+13+1%
2007−0.3°C−14+1%
2008−0.6°C−9+1%
2009+0.2°C−11−1%
2010−0.2°C−24−4%
2011−0.9°C−33−1%
2012−0.8°C−20−1%
2013−0.2°C−5+1%
2014±0.0°C−3+1%
2015+0.1°C−8−4%
2016+0.4°C−5−1%
2017+0.3°C+20−6%
2018±0.0°C−8−1%
2019+0.4°C+25+1%
2020+0.4°C+5−4%
2021±0.0°C−8−6%
2022−0.4°C−13−1%
2023+0.7°C+20−4%
2024+0.6°C+25−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Bundaberg, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bundaberg?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C98±1.0 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
80
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C97±1.6 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
76
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C97±1.5 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 22°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°25° to 26°±11%87% to 98% chance
Mon±2°27° to 30°±27%53% to 80% chance
Tue±3°30° to 33°±26%48% to 74% chance
Wed±1°26° to 27°±33%29% to 62% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bundaberg

today, local time
Sunrise
05:09
Sunset
18:01
Daylight
12h 52m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bundaberg today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Bundaberg today. Tomorrow: showers, around 26°, with a 98% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bundaberg today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Bundaberg on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 87% (European 98%, American 87%, German 88%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bundaberg?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bundaberg (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the American at 80. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bundaberg?
January is typically the warmest month in Bundaberg, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Bundaberg get?
The coldest month in Bundaberg is July, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Bundaberg get?
Bundaberg sees roughly 973 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Bundaberg getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Bundaberg, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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