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CheckWeather AUHervey Bay
Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 5°C

Hervey Bay weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Hervey Bay's high today between 24° and 30°, a 5° split. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 24°, with a 3% chance of rain.

26°18°
24°17°
24°14°
23°15°
21°15°
22°15°
Todaysplit ±5°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
30°
Clear
Today 30°·Low 16°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Cloudy
Today 25°·Low 17°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Partly cloudy
Today 24°·Low 20°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Hervey Bay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
26° 18°
±5°
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
24° 17°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
24° 14°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
23° 14°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
24° 13°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
25° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 15°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
25° 15°
±4°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
25° 13°
±5°

Hervey Bay, Queensland is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 13°C), with roughly 896 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Hervey Bay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Hervey Bay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
23°
Feb
30°
22°
Mar
29°
22°
Apr
27°
19°
May
24°
15°
Jun
22°
13°
Jul
22°
13°
Aug
23°
15°
Sep
24°
16°
Oct
26°
19°
Nov
27°
21°
Dec
29°
23°

Which forecast is most accurate in Hervey Bay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C94±3.1 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
90±0.5°C94±2.9 km/t7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C97±1.5 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±5°24° to 30°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±1°23° to 24°±63%0% to 63% chance
Wed±1°22° to 23°±39%0% to 39% chance
Thu±2°20° to 22°±70%10% to 80% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Hervey Bay

today, local time
Sunrise
05:56
Sunset
17:38
Daylight
11h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Hervey Bay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Hervey Bay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Hervey Bay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Hervey Bay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Hervey Bay?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Hervey Bay (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Hervey Bay?
February is typically the warmest month in Hervey Bay, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Hervey Bay get?
The coldest month in Hervey Bay is June, when overnight lows average about 13°C.
How much rain does Hervey Bay get?
Hervey Bay sees roughly 896 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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