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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Urangan weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Urangan today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 93% chance of rain.

22°20°
24°21°
26°22°
28°21°
26°20°
24°21°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±5°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
21°
Drizzle
Feels 23° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 92%
AmericanNOAA GFS
20°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 22° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 95%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Light rain
Feels 24° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 93%

Latest for Urangan: European (ECMWF): 21° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 20° Heavy drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 22° Light rain.

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Urangan weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Urangan swings 15°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 13°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1248 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
July
13°C average low
Wettest month
February
1248 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Urangan and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Urangan hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Urangan 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
22° 20°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light rain
24° 21°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
26° 22°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
28° 21°
±5°
Wed
Showers
26° 20°
models agree
Thu
Rain
24° 21°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
24° 20°
±2°
Sat
Light drizzle
24° 20°
models agree
Sun
Partly cloudy
29° 21°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
25° 20°
±3°
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 20°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
25° 19°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
25° 20°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
25° 21°
models agree

Urangan, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 13°C), with roughly 1248 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Urangan right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Urangan climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
23°
Feb
28°
23°
Mar
27°
22°
Apr
25°
19°
May
23°
16°
Jun
22°
14°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
20°
14°
Sep
23°
16°
Oct
25°
19°
Nov
26°
21°
Dec
27°
22°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Urangan's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Urangan, 2015-2024 averaged 0.3°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2010: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

1 fewer day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −3 vs the 30-year average1996: +7 vs the 30-year average1997: +2 vs the 30-year average1998: +4 vs the 30-year average1999: −6 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: +6 vs the 30-year average2002: +8 vs the 30-year average2003: −5 vs the 30-year average2004: +3 vs the 30-year average2005: +10 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: −4 vs the 30-year average2008: −1 vs the 30-year average2009: −6 vs the 30-year average2010: −8 vs the 30-year average2011: −9 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: −3 vs the 30-year average2014: +3 vs the 30-year average2015: −1 vs the 30-year average2016: −4 vs the 30-year average2017: +2 vs the 30-year average2018: +0 vs the 30-year average2019: +2 vs the 30-year average2020: −2 vs the 30-year average2021: −2 vs the 30-year average2022: −3 vs the 30-year average2023: +8 vs the 30-year average2024: +4 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−5%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +4% vs the 30-year average1997: +4% vs the 30-year average1998: +0% vs the 30-year average1999: +8% vs the 30-year average2000: +6% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −2% vs the 30-year average2005: +0% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: +0% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: −2% vs the 30-year average2011: +0% vs the 30-year average2012: +0% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: +0% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: −6% vs the 30-year average2018: −2% vs the 30-year average2019: −2% vs the 30-year average2020: −4% vs the 30-year average2021: −6% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −4% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.3°C−3+2%
1996−0.2°C+7+4%
1997−0.1°C+2+4%
1998+0.5°C+4+0%
1999−0.7°C−6+8%
2000−0.6°C−4+6%
2001+0.2°C+6−2%
2002+0.2°C+8+2%
2003±0.0°C−5+2%
2004+0.2°C+3−2%
2005+0.4°C+10+0%
2006−0.1°C−5−2%
2007−0.4°C−4+0%
2008−0.5°C−1+2%
2009+0.1°C−6+0%
2010+0.1°C−8−2%
2011−0.7°C−9+0%
2012−0.6°C−2+0%
2013−0.1°C−3+2%
2014±0.0°C+3+0%
2015+0.2°C−1−4%
2016+0.4°C−4−2%
2017+0.4°C+2−6%
2018±0.0°C+0−2%
2019+0.3°C+2−2%
2020+0.3°C−2−4%
2021±0.0°C−2−6%
2022−0.3°C−3+2%
2023+0.6°C+8−4%
2024+0.7°C+4−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Urangan, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Urangan?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C96±1.9 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
83
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C96±2.0 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
79
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C97±1.7 km/h6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°22° to 23°±2%98% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°24° to 25°±10%83% to 93% chance
Mon±1°26° to 26°±27%45% to 72% chance
Tue±5°25° to 31°±40%25% to 65% chance
Wed±2°25° to 27°±26%30% to 56% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Urangan

today, local time
Sunrise
05:05
Sunset
17:58
Daylight
12h 53m

Common questions

What's the weather in Urangan today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Urangan today. Tomorrow: light rain, around 24°, with a 93% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Urangan today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Urangan on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 83% (European 91%, American 93%, German 83%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Urangan?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Urangan (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the American at 83. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Urangan?
January is typically the warmest month in Urangan, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Urangan get?
The coldest month in Urangan is July, when overnight lows average about 13°C.
How much rain does Urangan get?
Urangan sees roughly 1248 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Urangan getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Urangan, 2015-2024 averaged 0.3°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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