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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

Busselton weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Busselton today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 17°, with a 86% chance of rain.

15°6°
17°7°
19°8°
22°8°
24°9°
24°11°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
11°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 64%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Clear
Feels 6° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 61%
GermanDWD ICON
10°
Mainly clear
Feels 8° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 68%

Latest for Busselton: European (ECMWF): 11° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 10° Mainly clear.

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Busselton weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Busselton swings 21°C across the year, from 30°C highs in February to 9°C lows in July, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 782 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
30°C average high
Coldest month
July
9°C average low
Wettest month
July
782 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and August
Residents
27,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Busselton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Busselton hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Busselton 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15° 6°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
17° 7°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 8°
±3°
Tue
Partly cloudy
22° 8°
models agree
Wed
Clear
24° 9°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
24° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
21° 12°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Sun
Heavy drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 12°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 11°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 9°
±6°

Busselton, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 9°C), with roughly 782 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Busselton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Busselton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
29°
16°
Feb
30°
16°
Mar
27°
15°
Apr
24°
13°
May
20°
12°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
15°
9°
Aug
16°
9°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
19°
10°
Nov
23°
12°
Dec
26°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Busselton has changed since 1995

Busselton sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Bunbury. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Bunbury page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Busselton?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C97±1.5 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
93±0.4°C90±5.1 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
86±0.8°C96±1.9 km/h7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree15° to 16°±82%18% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°16° to 17°±76%10% to 86% chance
Mon±3°18° to 21°±44%3% to 47% chance
Tue±1°22° to 23°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±2°23° to 25°±15%0% to 15% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Busselton

today, local time
Sunrise
05:27
Sunset
18:39
Daylight
13h 12m

Common questions

What's the weather in Busselton today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Busselton today. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 17°, with a 86% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Busselton today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Busselton on Sunday 25 October: European 86%, American 52%, German 10%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Busselton?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Busselton (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Busselton?
February is typically the warmest month in Busselton, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Busselton get?
The coldest month in Busselton is July, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Busselton get?
Busselton sees roughly 782 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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