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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Bunbury weather

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Light drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Bunbury today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 16°, with a 85% chance of rain.

16°7°
16°7°
19°8°
23°9°
23°11°
23°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
10°
Clear
Feels 7° · Wind 13 km/h · Humidity 62%
AmericanNOAA GFS
11°
Clear
Feels 6° · Wind 21 km/h · Humidity 62%
GermanDWD ICON
11°
Clear
Feels 8° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 70%

Latest for Bunbury: European (ECMWF): 10° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 11° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 11° Clear.

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Bunbury weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Bunbury swings 19°C across the year, from 29°C highs in February to 10°C lows in June, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 773 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
29°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
July
773 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
76,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Bunbury and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Bunbury hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Bunbury 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
16° 7°
models agree
Tomorrow
Drizzle
16° 7°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 8°
±4°
Tue
Mostly clear
23° 9°
models agree
Wed
Clear
23° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 13°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 13°
±3°
Sun
Light rain
20° 14°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
19° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
19° 11°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree

Bunbury, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 773 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Bunbury right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Bunbury climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
16°
Feb
29°
17°
Mar
26°
16°
Apr
23°
14°
May
20°
12°
Jun
16°
10°
Jul
16°
10°
Aug
16°
10°
Sep
17°
10°
Oct
19°
10°
Nov
23°
13°
Dec
26°
14°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Bunbury's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Bunbury, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2010: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2012: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2017: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.2°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

3 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3 vs the 30-year average1996: +4 vs the 30-year average1997: +2 vs the 30-year average1998: +3 vs the 30-year average1999: +1 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: −3 vs the 30-year average2002: −5 vs the 30-year average2003: −1 vs the 30-year average2004: +1 vs the 30-year average2005: −6 vs the 30-year average2006: −5 vs the 30-year average2007: −2 vs the 30-year average2008: −0 vs the 30-year average2009: −4 vs the 30-year average2010: +3 vs the 30-year average2011: −0 vs the 30-year average2012: +6 vs the 30-year average2013: −4 vs the 30-year average2014: −1 vs the 30-year average2015: −3 vs the 30-year average2016: +3 vs the 30-year average2017: −3 vs the 30-year average2018: −8 vs the 30-year average2019: +8 vs the 30-year average2020: −2 vs the 30-year average2021: +7 vs the 30-year average2022: +8 vs the 30-year average2023: +4 vs the 30-year average2024: +12 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +5% vs the 30-year average1997: +3% vs the 30-year average1998: +1% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +1% vs the 30-year average2001: −5% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +3% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: −1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +1% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −5% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −3% vs the 30-year average2013: −3% vs the 30-year average2014: −3% vs the 30-year average2015: −5% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: +1% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −3% vs the 30-year average2020: +1% vs the 30-year average2021: +1% vs the 30-year average2022: −1% vs the 30-year average2023: +1% vs the 30-year average2024: +5% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.2°C+3+3%
1996−0.2°C+4+5%
1997−0.1°C+2+3%
1998−0.1°C+3+1%
1999+0.3°C+1+5%
2000−0.1°C−4+1%
2001−0.4°C−3−5%
2002−0.3°C−5+1%
2003−0.1°C−1+3%
2004−0.2°C+1−1%
2005−1.0°C−6−1%
2006−0.1°C−5−1%
2007−0.4°C−2+3%
2008−0.4°C−0+1%
2009−0.3°C−4+1%
2010+0.1°C+3−5%
2011+0.6°C−0+1%
2012+0.3°C+6−3%
2013+0.2°C−4−3%
2014+0.2°C−1−3%
2015+0.2°C−3−5%
2016−0.5°C+3−1%
2017±0.0°C−3+1%
2018−0.1°C−8−1%
2019+0.3°C+8−3%
2020+0.3°C−2+1%
2021+0.1°C+7+1%
2022+0.2°C+8−1%
2023+0.6°C+4+1%
2024+1.2°C+12+5%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Bunbury, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Bunbury?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
93±0.4°C93±3.3 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
74±1.4°C91±4.6 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
79
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C92±4.0 km/h5877% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°15° to 16°±59%29% to 88% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±72%13% to 85% chance
Mon±4°17° to 21°±56%8% to 64% chance
Tue±2°22° to 24°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±4°20° to 24°±18%0% to 18% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Bunbury

today, local time
Sunrise
05:26
Sunset
18:36
Daylight
13h 10m

Common questions

What's the weather in Bunbury today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Bunbury today. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 16°, with a 85% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Bunbury today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Bunbury on Sunday 25 October: European 85%, American 48%, German 13%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 88%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Bunbury?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Bunbury (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Bunbury?
February is typically the warmest month in Bunbury, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does Bunbury get?
The coldest month in Bunbury is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Bunbury get?
Bunbury sees roughly 773 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Bunbury getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Bunbury, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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