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Margaret River weather

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EuropeanECMWF
11°
Mainly clear
Feels 8° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 61%
AmericanNOAA GFS
10°
Overcast
Feels 7° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 59%
GermanDWD ICON
9°
Mainly clear
Feels 6° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 72%

Latest for Margaret River: European (ECMWF): 11° Mainly clear · American (NOAA GFS): 10° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 9° Mainly clear.

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Margaret River weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Margaret River swings 16°C across the year, from 26°C highs in February to 10°C lows in August, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1061 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
26°C average high
Coldest month
August
10°C average low
Wettest month
July
1061 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
7,571
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Margaret River and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Margaret River hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Margaret River 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Margaret River, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 10°C), with roughly 1061 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Margaret River right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Margaret River climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
25°
15°
Feb
26°
15°
Mar
24°
14°
Apr
22°
13°
May
19°
12°
Jun
16°
11°
Jul
15°
11°
Aug
15°
10°
Sep
16°
10°
Oct
18°
11°
Nov
22°
13°
Dec
23°
13°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Margaret River's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.1°C

Around Margaret River, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.1°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1996: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1999: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2008: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2009: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2010: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2011: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2012: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2016: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2018: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2019: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1 vs the 30-year average1996: −0 vs the 30-year average1997: −0 vs the 30-year average1998: −2 vs the 30-year average1999: +6 vs the 30-year average2000: −0 vs the 30-year average2001: −1 vs the 30-year average2002: −3 vs the 30-year average2003: −1 vs the 30-year average2004: −0 vs the 30-year average2005: −1 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: +1 vs the 30-year average2008: −0 vs the 30-year average2009: −4 vs the 30-year average2010: +1 vs the 30-year average2011: +5 vs the 30-year average2012: +9 vs the 30-year average2013: −1 vs the 30-year average2014: −2 vs the 30-year average2015: −2 vs the 30-year average2016: −0 vs the 30-year average2017: −4 vs the 30-year average2018: −3 vs the 30-year average2019: −1 vs the 30-year average2020: −1 vs the 30-year average2021: +4 vs the 30-year average2022: +2 vs the 30-year average2023: +2 vs the 30-year average2024: +6 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +5% vs the 30-year average1997: +0% vs the 30-year average1998: +0% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +0% vs the 30-year average2001: −4% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −3% vs the 30-year average2005: +0% vs the 30-year average2006: −3% vs the 30-year average2007: +5% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: −7% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: −6% vs the 30-year average2013: −1% vs the 30-year average2014: −3% vs the 30-year average2015: −7% vs the 30-year average2016: +0% vs the 30-year average2017: +0% vs the 30-year average2018: −1% vs the 30-year average2019: −4% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: +0% vs the 30-year average2022: +0% vs the 30-year average2023: +2% vs the 30-year average2024: +3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995±0.0°C−1+3%
1996+0.1°C−0+5%
1997−0.1°C−0+0%
1998−0.2°C−2+0%
1999+0.5°C+6+5%
2000+0.3°C−0+0%
2001−0.4°C−1−4%
2002−0.3°C−3+2%
2003−0.1°C−1+2%
2004−0.3°C−0−3%
2005−0.7°C−1+0%
2006−0.2°C−0−3%
2007−0.2°C+1+5%
2008±0.0°C−0+2%
2009−0.3°C−4+2%
2010±0.0°C+1−7%
2011+0.9°C+5+2%
2012+0.6°C+9−6%
2013+0.4°C−1−1%
2014+0.3°C−2−3%
2015±0.0°C−2−7%
2016−0.6°C−0+0%
2017−0.3°C−4+0%
2018−0.3°C−3−1%
2019−0.1°C−1−4%
2020+0.2°C−1+2%
2021+0.2°C+4+0%
2022+0.2°C+2+0%
2023+0.4°C+2+2%
2024+0.7°C+6+3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Margaret River, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Margaret River?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
80
/100rank #1
82±1.0°C89±5.5 km/h7184% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
79
/100rank #2
82±1.0°C92±3.9 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
76
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C94±3.0 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Margaret River today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Margaret River today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Margaret River today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Margaret River and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Margaret River?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Margaret River (CheckWeather Score 80/100), ahead of the American at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Margaret River?
February is typically the warmest month in Margaret River, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Margaret River get?
The coldest month in Margaret River is August, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Margaret River get?
Margaret River sees roughly 1061 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Margaret River getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Margaret River, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.1°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

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