Skip to main content
Every Australian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUMargaret River
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Margaret River weather

Loading live data…

Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Margaret River's high today between 15° and 17°, a 2° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 19°, with a 0% chance of rain.

16°
19°
20°
20°
20°10°
21°12°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 78%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 58%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 5%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Margaret River and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
16°
±2°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
19°
±4°
Tue
Clear
20°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
20°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
20° 10°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
21° 12°
±3°
Sat
Heavy drizzle
17° 13°
±3°
Sun
Light drizzle
16°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
19°
±2°
Tue
Clear
20°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
20°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
17° 11°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
15° 11°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
17° 11°
±3°

Margaret River, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 758 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Margaret River right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Margaret River climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
26°
16°
Feb
27°
16°
Mar
25°
15°
Apr
22°
13°
May
20°
13°
Jun
16°
11°
Jul
16°
12°
Aug
16°
11°
Sep
17°
11°
Oct
19°
12°
Nov
23°
14°
Dec
24°
14°

Which forecast is most accurate in Margaret River?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
90±0.5°C93±3.6 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
89
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C88±6.1 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
84
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C92±4.2 km/t7687% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±73%5% to 78% chance
Tomorrow±4°17° to 20°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±3°18° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±4°17° to 21°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±2°19° to 21°±16%0% to 16% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Margaret River

today, local time
Sunrise
06:30
Sunset
18:04
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Margaret River today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Margaret River today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Margaret River today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Margaret River and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Margaret River?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Margaret River (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 89. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Margaret River?
February is typically the warmest month in Margaret River, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Margaret River get?
The coldest month in Margaret River is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Margaret River get?
Margaret River sees roughly 758 mm of precipitation a year, with August usually the wettest month.

Nearby

More AU weather