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Forecast confidence: Low · models disagree by 7°C

Port Hedland weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Port Hedland's high today between 31° and 38°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 32°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain.

34°24°
32°22°
30°24°
30°22°
29°21°
29°21°
Todaysplit ±7°Tomorrowsplit ±7°Mondaysplit ±7°Tuesdaysplit ±6°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±6°
EuropeanECMWF
28°
Clear
Feels 27° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 48%
AmericanNOAA GFS
25°
Clear
Feels 25° · Wind 24 km/h · Humidity 67%
GermanDWD ICON
26°
Clear
Feels 26° · Wind 22 km/h · Humidity 67%

Latest for Port Hedland: European (ECMWF): 28° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 25° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 26° Clear.

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Port Hedland weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Port Hedland swings 20°C across the year, from 35°C highs in November to 15°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 320 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
November
35°C average high
Coldest month
June
15°C average low
Wettest month
February
320 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
1 month
June
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Port Hedland and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Port Hedland hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Port Hedland 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
34° 24°
±7°
Tomorrow
Clear
32° 22°
±7°
Mon
Clear
30° 24°
±7°
Tue
Clear
30° 22°
±6°
Wed
Clear
29° 21°
models agree
Thu
Clear
29° 21°
±6°
Fri
Clear
30° 21°
±7°
Sat
Clear
33° 21°
±6°
Sun
Clear
35° 23°
±9°
Mon
Mostly clear
37° 23°
±11°
Tue
Mostly clear
38° 25°
±10°
Wed
Clear
40° 24°
±11°
Thu
Clear
40° 25°
±10°
Fri
Clear
41° 26°
±9°

Port Hedland, Western Australia is at its warmest in Nov (average highs near 35°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 15°C), with roughly 320 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Port Hedland right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Port Hedland climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
34°
27°
Feb
34°
26°
Mar
34°
26°
Apr
34°
24°
May
30°
19°
Jun
26°
15°
Jul
27°
16°
Aug
28°
16°
Sep
30°
19°
Oct
34°
22°
Nov
35°
24°
Dec
35°
26°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Port Hedland's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.9°C

Around Port Hedland, 2015-2024 averaged 0.9°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average1996: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average1999: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: −1.7°C vs the 30-year average2001: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2003: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2009: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2010: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2011: −1.3°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2017: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2024: +1.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

28 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −14 vs the 30-year average1996: +7 vs the 30-year average1997: −30 vs the 30-year average1998: +32 vs the 30-year average1999: −48 vs the 30-year average2000: −58 vs the 30-year average2001: −27 vs the 30-year average2002: +32 vs the 30-year average2003: −9 vs the 30-year average2004: −10 vs the 30-year average2005: +29 vs the 30-year average2006: −20 vs the 30-year average2007: −19 vs the 30-year average2008: +3 vs the 30-year average2009: +7 vs the 30-year average2010: +24 vs the 30-year average2011: −74 vs the 30-year average2012: −21 vs the 30-year average2013: +5 vs the 30-year average2014: +27 vs the 30-year average2015: +8 vs the 30-year average2016: +17 vs the 30-year average2017: −22 vs the 30-year average2018: +25 vs the 30-year average2019: +14 vs the 30-year average2020: +41 vs the 30-year average2021: +7 vs the 30-year average2022: +1 vs the 30-year average2023: +28 vs the 30-year average2024: +40 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

no clear change

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9% vs the 30-year average1996: −2% vs the 30-year average1997: −4% vs the 30-year average1998: +0% vs the 30-year average1999: −2% vs the 30-year average2000: +0% vs the 30-year average2001: +0% vs the 30-year average2002: −4% vs the 30-year average2003: −2% vs the 30-year average2004: +3% vs the 30-year average2005: −2% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: +0% vs the 30-year average2008: +0% vs the 30-year average2009: +0% vs the 30-year average2010: +5% vs the 30-year average2011: +3% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: +0% vs the 30-year average2014: −4% vs the 30-year average2015: +5% vs the 30-year average2016: −2% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: +0% vs the 30-year average2019: +0% vs the 30-year average2020: +0% vs the 30-year average2021: +0% vs the 30-year average2022: +0% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: +3% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.7°C−14+9%
1996+0.6°C+7−2%
1997−0.9°C−30−4%
1998+0.9°C+32+0%
1999−1.0°C−48−2%
2000−1.7°C−58+0%
2001−1.0°C−27+0%
2002+0.4°C+32−4%
2003±0.0°C−9−2%
2004−0.1°C−10+3%
2005+0.4°C+29−2%
2006−0.4°C−20−2%
2007−0.4°C−19+0%
2008−0.1°C+3+0%
2009±0.0°C+7+0%
2010+0.6°C+24+5%
2011−1.3°C−74+3%
2012−0.8°C−21−2%
2013−0.3°C+5+0%
2014+0.2°C+27−4%
2015+0.1°C+8+5%
2016+0.8°C+17−2%
2017−0.3°C−22−2%
2018±0.0°C+25+0%
2019+0.7°C+14+0%
2020+0.9°C+41+0%
2021+0.5°C+7+0%
2022+0.2°C+1+0%
2023+0.8°C+28−2%
2024+1.5°C+40+3%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Port Hedland, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Port Hedland?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
G
German ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
85±0.8°C89±5.5 km/h100100% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
79
/100rank #2
52±2.7°C92±3.9 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
70
/100rank #3
38±3.4°C80±9.9 km/h100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±7°31° to 38°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±7°28° to 35°models agree0% to 0% chance
Mon±7°28° to 35°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±6°28° to 34°±3%0% to 3% chance
Wed±1°28° to 29°±3%2% to 5% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port Hedland

today, local time
Sunrise
05:28
Sunset
18:11
Daylight
12h 43m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port Hedland today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Port Hedland's high today between 31° and 38°, a 7° split. Tomorrow: clear, around 32°, with a 0% chance of rain, and the models disagree, so treat it as uncertain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Port Hedland today or tomorrow?
Rain looks unlikely in Port Hedland on Sunday 25 October: no model gives more than 0% (European 0%, American 0%, German 0%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 0%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port Hedland?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Port Hedland (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the European at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port Hedland?
November is typically the warmest month in Port Hedland, with average highs around 35°C.
How cold does Port Hedland get?
The coldest month in Port Hedland is June, when overnight lows average about 15°C.
How much rain does Port Hedland get?
Port Hedland sees roughly 320 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Port Hedland getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Port Hedland, 2015-2024 averaged 0.9°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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