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CheckWeather AUGeraldton
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Geraldton weather

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Drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 19° in Geraldton today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 21°, with a 14% chance of rain.

19°12°
21°11°
22°12°
22°13°
25°13°
24°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±2°Thursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Drizzle
Today 19°·Low 12°·Rain 100%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Light drizzle
Today 18°·Low 12°·Rain 72%
GermanDWD ICON
19°
Light rain
Today 19°·Low 14°·Rain 75%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Geraldton and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Drizzle
19° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
21° 11°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
22° 12°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 13°
±2°
Thu
Clear
25° 13°
models agree
Fri
Mostly clear
24° 15°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sun
Clear
21° 13°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
23° 12°
models agree
Tue
Clear
24° 14°
±7°
Wed
Mostly clear
24° 15°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
21° 14°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
19° 13°
models agree
Sat
Clear
20° 11°
models agree

Geraldton, Western Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 34°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 11°C), with roughly 380 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Geraldton right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Geraldton climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
31°
21°
Feb
34°
22°
Mar
30°
20°
Apr
28°
18°
May
26°
16°
Jun
20°
12°
Jul
19°
11°
Aug
21°
12°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
26°
15°
Nov
28°
18°
Dec
30°
20°

Which forecast is most accurate in Geraldton?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
90
/100rank #1
91±0.5°C88±5.9 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
87
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C96±1.8 km/t7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
82
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C96±2.0 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°18° to 19°±28%72% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°20° to 21°±14%0% to 14% chance
Tue±1°22° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±2°21° to 23°models agree0% to 0% chance
Thu±2°24° to 26°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Geraldton

today, local time
Sunrise
06:29
Sunset
18:09
Daylight
11h 40m

Common questions

What's the weather in Geraldton today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Geraldton today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Geraldton today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Geraldton and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Geraldton?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Geraldton (CheckWeather Score 90/100), ahead of the European at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Geraldton?
February is typically the warmest month in Geraldton, with average highs around 34°C.
How cold does Geraldton get?
The coldest month in Geraldton is July, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Geraldton get?
Geraldton sees roughly 380 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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