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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Port Lincoln weather

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Heavy drizzle,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Port Lincoln's high today between 18° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain.

20°13°
16°11°
16°10°
17°10°
18°11°
19°13°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
13°
Drizzle
Feels 13° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
13°
Light drizzle
Feels 9° · Wind 31 km/h · Humidity 85%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Light rain
Feels 12° · Wind 18 km/h · Humidity 92%

Latest for Port Lincoln: European (ECMWF): 13° Drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 13° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 14° Light rain.

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Port Lincoln weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Port Lincoln swings 17°C across the year, from 25°C highs in February to 8°C lows in August, and June is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 534 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
February
25°C average high
Coldest month
August
8°C average low
Wettest month
June
534 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
14,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Port Lincoln and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Port Lincoln hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Port Lincoln 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Heavy drizzle
20° 13°
±4°
Tomorrow
Drizzle
16° 11°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
16° 10°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
17° 10°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
18° 11°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
19° 13°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±6°
Sat
Light drizzle
19° 12°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
19° 13°
models agree
Mon
Cloudy
25° 15°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
21° 15°
models agree
Wed
Partly cloudy
21° 13°
±5°
Thu
Cloudy
23° 13°
±12°
Fri
Cloudy
25° 15°
±9°

Port Lincoln, South Australia is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 25°C) and coldest in Aug (lows around 8°C), with roughly 534 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Port Lincoln right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Port Lincoln climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
24°
16°
Feb
25°
17°
Mar
23°
15°
Apr
21°
14°
May
18°
12°
Jun
15°
9°
Jul
15°
10°
Aug
15°
8°
Sep
18°
10°
Oct
19°
11°
Nov
20°
13°
Dec
23°
15°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Port Lincoln's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Port Lincoln, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 5 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2018.

1995: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1998: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2000: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2001: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2002: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2004: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2007: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2008: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2011: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2013: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2020: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2021: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2022: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

1 more day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −4 vs the 30-year average1996: −4 vs the 30-year average1997: +5 vs the 30-year average1998: −2 vs the 30-year average1999: −1 vs the 30-year average2000: +3 vs the 30-year average2001: +2 vs the 30-year average2002: −3 vs the 30-year average2003: −3 vs the 30-year average2004: −2 vs the 30-year average2005: −2 vs the 30-year average2006: −2 vs the 30-year average2007: +0 vs the 30-year average2008: +3 vs the 30-year average2009: +8 vs the 30-year average2010: +1 vs the 30-year average2011: −1 vs the 30-year average2012: −3 vs the 30-year average2013: +0 vs the 30-year average2014: +4 vs the 30-year average2015: −1 vs the 30-year average2016: −5 vs the 30-year average2017: +1 vs the 30-year average2018: +1 vs the 30-year average2019: +9 vs the 30-year average2020: −1 vs the 30-year average2021: −2 vs the 30-year average2022: −4 vs the 30-year average2023: −2 vs the 30-year average2024: −1 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−1%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +3% vs the 30-year average1997: −4% vs the 30-year average1998: −4% vs the 30-year average1999: +1% vs the 30-year average2000: +3% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +6% vs the 30-year average2003: +4% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −2% vs the 30-year average2007: +3% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −7% vs the 30-year average2011: −2% vs the 30-year average2012: −2% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: −4% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: +3% vs the 30-year average2017: −2% vs the 30-year average2018: +3% vs the 30-year average2019: −1% vs the 30-year average2020: +3% vs the 30-year average2021: +1% vs the 30-year average2022: +1% vs the 30-year average2023: +1% vs the 30-year average2024: −5% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.9°C−4+3%
1996−0.6°C−4+3%
1997−0.2°C+5−4%
1998−0.3°C−2−4%
1999±0.0°C−1+1%
2000+0.3°C+3+3%
2001−0.1°C+2−1%
2002−0.2°C−3+6%
2003−0.5°C−3+4%
2004−0.2°C−2−1%
2005−0.1°C−2+1%
2006−0.3°C−2−2%
2007+0.4°C+0+3%
2008±0.0°C+3+3%
2009+0.5°C+8+1%
2010−0.3°C+1−7%
2011±0.0°C−1−2%
2012±0.0°C−3−2%
2013+0.6°C+0+1%
2014+0.4°C+4−4%
2015+0.1°C−1−4%
2016±0.0°C−5+3%
2017+0.7°C+1−2%
2018+0.8°C+1+3%
2019+0.5°C+9−1%
2020−0.2°C−1+3%
2021−0.1°C−2+1%
2022±0.0°C−4+1%
2023+0.4°C−2+1%
2024+0.5°C−1−5%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Port Lincoln, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Port Lincoln?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
74±1.4°C91±4.3 km/h100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C94±2.9 km/h8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
82
/100rank #3
89±0.6°C88±5.9 km/h7184% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°18° to 22°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°16° to 17°±52%48% to 100% chance
Mon±1°15° to 16°±46%27% to 73% chance
Tue±1°16° to 17°±47%8% to 55% chance
Wed±4°16° to 20°±4%6% to 10% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Port Lincoln

today, local time
Sunrise
06:34
Sunset
19:48
Daylight
13h 14m

Common questions

What's the weather in Port Lincoln today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Port Lincoln's high today between 18° and 22°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: drizzle, around 16°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Port Lincoln today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Port Lincoln on Sunday 25 October: European 95%, American 100%, German 48%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Port Lincoln?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Port Lincoln (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Port Lincoln?
February is typically the warmest month in Port Lincoln, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Port Lincoln get?
The coldest month in Port Lincoln is August, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Port Lincoln get?
Port Lincoln sees roughly 534 mm of precipitation a year, with June usually the wettest month.
Is Port Lincoln getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Port Lincoln, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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