Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 4°C
Kambah weather
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Light drizzle,thunder likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Kambah's high today between 24° and 28°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: thunderstorm, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain.
Kambah swings 26°C across the year, from 26°C highs in January to 0°C lows in July, and November is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 730 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
26°C average high
Coldest month
July
0°C average low
Wettest month
November
730 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
January, February, March and April
Residents
15,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Kambah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Kambah hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Kambah 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
26°10°
±4°
Tomorrow
Thunderstorm
25°14°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
20°6°
±4°
Tue
Partly cloudy
18°5°
±6°
Wed
Cloudy
20°4°
±4°
Thu
Mostly clear
22°5°
±6°
Fri
Light drizzle
19°9°
±7°
Sat
Light drizzle
24°11°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
20°10°
±6°
Mon
Cloudy
19°6°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22°9°
±3°
Wed
Light rain
24°11°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
18°8°
±9°
Fri
Partly cloudy
25°8°
±3°
Kambah, Australian Capital Territory is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 26°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 0°C), with roughly 730 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Kambah right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
26°
15°
Feb
26°
13°
Mar
23°
11°
Apr
18°
7°
May
14°
3°
Jun
11°
2°
Jul
10°
0°
Aug
11°
0°
Sep
15°
2°
Oct
19°
5°
Nov
21°
8°
Dec
24°
11°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Kambah's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C
Around Kambah, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
3 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
8 fewer nights a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−1%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.4°C
−8
+13
+3%
1996
−1.6°C
−9
+7
+3%
1997
±0.0°C
−1
+14
−2%
1998
+0.1°C
+4
−4
−2%
1999
−0.2°C
−2
+0
−7%
2000
−0.5°C
−8
+8
−2%
2001
−0.1°C
−2
−7
+3%
2002
±0.0°C
−1
+15
+3%
2003
−0.1°C
+4
+8
+3%
2004
−0.1°C
+7
+8
+3%
2005
+0.1°C
−4
−9
+3%
2006
+0.5°C
+10
+9
−2%
2007
+0.5°C
+5
−6
+3%
2008
−0.4°C
−0
+7
−2%
2009
+0.5°C
+16
−14
+3%
2010
−0.3°C
−4
−5
−2%
2011
−0.8°C
−9
−5
−7%
2012
−1.1°C
−9
+4
−2%
2013
+0.2°C
+6
−14
+3%
2014
+0.5°C
+12
−11
−2%
2015
±0.0°C
−5
+15
−7%
2016
+0.4°C
+1
−9
+3%
2017
+0.4°C
+1
+17
−2%
2018
+0.7°C
+7
+2
+3%
2019
+1.0°C
+27
+11
+3%
2020
+0.1°C
−0
−10
+3%
2021
−0.7°C
−5
−3
−2%
2022
−0.5°C
−9
−16
−2%
2023
+0.4°C
−8
−20
−2%
2024
+1.1°C
−4
−8
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Kambah, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Kambah?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
G
German ★ Best
86
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C
96±1.9 km/h
8290% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European
85
/100rank #2
81±1.1°C
97±1.5 km/h
8290% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
83
/100rank #3
64±2.0°C
95±2.4 km/h
9597% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±4°24° to 28°
±43%0% to 43% chance
Tomorrow
±4°23° to 27°
±17%83% to 100% chance
Mon
±4°18° to 22°
±28%54% to 82% chance
Tue
±6°14° to 20°
±5%18% to 23% chance
Wed
±4°18° to 22°
±9%2% to 11% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Kambah
today, local time
Sunrise
06:10
Sunset
19:26
Daylight
13h 16m
Common questions
What's the weather in Kambah today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Kambah's high today between 24° and 28°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: thunderstorm, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Kambah today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Kambah on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 83% (European 100%, American 100%, German 83%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 43%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Kambah?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Kambah (CheckWeather Score 86/100), ahead of the European at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Kambah?
January is typically the warmest month in Kambah, with average highs around 26°C.
How cold does Kambah get?
The coldest month in Kambah is July, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does Kambah get?
Kambah sees roughly 730 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.
Is Kambah getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Kambah, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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