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Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Gympie weather

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Rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Gympie today. Tomorrow: showers, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.

22°18°
24°19°
30°20°
30°19°
27°18°
24°18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±4°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 22° · Wind 7 km/h · Humidity 98%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 98%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Light showers
Feels 22° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 97%

Latest for Gympie: European (ECMWF): 20° Heavy drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 20° Light showers.

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Gympie weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Gympie swings 22°C across the year, from 30°C highs in January to 8°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1101 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
8°C average low
Wettest month
February
1101 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
22,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Gympie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Gympie hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Gympie 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Rain
22° 18°
models agree
Tomorrow
Showers
24° 19°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
30° 20°
±4°
Tue
Light drizzle
30° 19°
models agree
Wed
Rain
27° 18°
±6°
Thu
Light drizzle
24° 18°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
23° 17°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
25° 18°
±3°
Sun
Clear
31° 18°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 16°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
27° 16°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
29° 17°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
27° 17°
models agree

Gympie, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 8°C), with roughly 1101 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Gympie right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Gympie climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
21°
Feb
29°
19°
Mar
27°
18°
Apr
25°
15°
May
23°
12°
Jun
21°
8°
Jul
20°
9°
Aug
21°
9°
Sep
25°
12°
Oct
27°
14°
Nov
28°
17°
Dec
30°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Gympie's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.5°C

Around Gympie, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.

1995: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average1997: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average1999: −1.2°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2011: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2013: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2015: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2018: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2023: +1.1°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.8°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 35°C

4 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −5 vs the 30-year average1996: −1 vs the 30-year average1997: +3 vs the 30-year average1998: −0 vs the 30-year average1999: −12 vs the 30-year average2000: −4 vs the 30-year average2001: +3 vs the 30-year average2002: +10 vs the 30-year average2003: −5 vs the 30-year average2004: −4 vs the 30-year average2005: +7 vs the 30-year average2006: −3 vs the 30-year average2007: −5 vs the 30-year average2008: −4 vs the 30-year average2009: +6 vs the 30-year average2010: −11 vs the 30-year average2011: −12 vs the 30-year average2012: −3 vs the 30-year average2013: +6 vs the 30-year average2014: +15 vs the 30-year average2015: −6 vs the 30-year average2016: +1 vs the 30-year average2017: +11 vs the 30-year average2018: −1 vs the 30-year average2019: +21 vs the 30-year average2020: +2 vs the 30-year average2021: −4 vs the 30-year average2022: −7 vs the 30-year average2023: +13 vs the 30-year average2024: −2 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−3%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +2% vs the 30-year average1996: +2% vs the 30-year average1997: +2% vs the 30-year average1998: −5% vs the 30-year average1999: +2% vs the 30-year average2000: +8% vs the 30-year average2001: +2% vs the 30-year average2002: +2% vs the 30-year average2003: +2% vs the 30-year average2004: −5% vs the 30-year average2005: +2% vs the 30-year average2006: +2% vs the 30-year average2007: +2% vs the 30-year average2008: +2% vs the 30-year average2009: +2% vs the 30-year average2010: −5% vs the 30-year average2011: +2% vs the 30-year average2012: +2% vs the 30-year average2013: +2% vs the 30-year average2014: +2% vs the 30-year average2015: −5% vs the 30-year average2016: +2% vs the 30-year average2017: −5% vs the 30-year average2018: +2% vs the 30-year average2019: +2% vs the 30-year average2020: +2% vs the 30-year average2021: −5% vs the 30-year average2022: +2% vs the 30-year average2023: −5% vs the 30-year average2024: −5% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >35°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.4°C−5+2%
1996−0.2°C−1+2%
1997±0.0°C+3+2%
1998+0.3°C−0−5%
1999−1.2°C−12+2%
2000−0.5°C−4+8%
2001+0.2°C+3+2%
2002+0.3°C+10+2%
2003−0.2°C−5+2%
2004+0.2°C−4−5%
2005+0.4°C+7+2%
2006+0.1°C−3+2%
2007−0.3°C−5+2%
2008−0.7°C−4+2%
2009+0.3°C+6+2%
2010−0.6°C−11−5%
2011−1.0°C−12+2%
2012−0.7°C−3+2%
2013±0.0°C+6+2%
2014+0.2°C+15+2%
2015−0.1°C−6−5%
2016+0.7°C+1+2%
2017+0.6°C+11−5%
2018±0.0°C−1+2%
2019+0.9°C+21+2%
2020+0.5°C+2+2%
2021+0.1°C−4−5%
2022−0.6°C−7+2%
2023+1.1°C+13−5%
2024+0.8°C−2−5%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Gympie, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Gympie?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.4°C98±1.2 km/h8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
81
/100rank #2
88±0.6°C93±3.5 km/h6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
73
/100rank #3
65±2.0°C96±1.9 km/h6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°21° to 23°models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±2°23° to 25°±15%85% to 100% chance
Mon±4°28° to 31°±6%57% to 63% chance
Tue±1°29° to 31°±38%30% to 68% chance
Wed±6°24° to 30°±39%18% to 57% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Gympie

today, local time
Sunrise
05:06
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 54m

Common questions

What's the weather in Gympie today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 22° in Gympie today. Tomorrow: showers, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Gympie today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Gympie on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 85% (European 95%, American 100%, German 85%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Gympie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Gympie (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the German at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Gympie?
January is typically the warmest month in Gympie, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Gympie get?
The coldest month in Gympie is June, when overnight lows average about 8°C.
How much rain does Gympie get?
Gympie sees roughly 1101 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Gympie getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Gympie, 2015-2024 averaged 0.5°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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