Skip to main content
Every Australian forecast, compared
checkweather.io
CheckWeather AUCoolum Beach
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Coolum Beach weather

Loading live data…

Mostly clear,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Coolum Beach's high today between 31° and 34°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 23°, with a 4% chance of rain.

33°16°
23°15°
22°14°
22°14°
21°14°
22°14°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
31°
Mostly clear
Today 31°·Low 16°·Rain 20%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 14°·Rain 1%
GermanDWD ICON
33°
Partly cloudy
Today 33°·Low 18°·Rain 3%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Coolum Beach and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
33° 16°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
23° 15°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 14°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
22° 14°
±3°
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 14°
±5°
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 12°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
25° 12°
±3°
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 15°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
24° 12°
±4°

Coolum Beach is a small town of about 9,346 people in Queensland, sitting at 26.5°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Coolum Beach with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Peregian Springs, Bli Bli, Sunshine Coast.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Coolum Beach?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
87
/100rank #1
86±0.8°C94±3.2 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
84
/100rank #2
94±0.3°C96±1.9 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
79
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C94±3.0 km/t6581% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°31° to 34°±19%1% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±2°22° to 24°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°21° to 23°±73%5% to 78% chance
Wed±1°22° to 22°±45%0% to 45% chance
Thu±1°20° to 21°±84%9% to 93% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Coolum Beach

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:37
Daylight
11h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Coolum Beach today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Coolum Beach today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Coolum Beach today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Coolum Beach and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Coolum Beach?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Coolum Beach (CheckWeather Score 87/100), ahead of the European at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather