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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Sunshine Coast (Sunny Coast) weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Sunshine Coast's high today between 22° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain.

23°18°
25°20°
31°21°
28°19°
26°17°
24°19°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Light showers
Feels 21° · Wind 11 km/h · Humidity 99%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Light showers
Feels 24° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 97%

Latest for Sunshine Coast: European (ECMWF): 20° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Light showers · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light showers.

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Sunshine Coast weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sunshine Coast swings 18°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 10°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1646 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
February
1646 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
April, May, June and July
Residents
399,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Sunshine Coast and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sunshine Coast in 3D: the weather on the streets, hour by hour

Rain, sun and real shadows drawn on a 3D map of Sunshine Coast, 48 hours ahead. Drag the timeline, pick what you are doing or where you are going, and read the verdict for that hour.Full screen ↗

What are you doing?

Where are you going?

Sunshine Coast hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sunshine Coast 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
23° 18°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
25° 20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
31° 21°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
28° 19°
models agree
Wed
Showers
26° 17°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
24° 19°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 18°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
31° 17°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 17°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
25° 16°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
28° 17°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
27° 17°
models agree

Sunshine Coast, Queensland. Often shortened to Sunny Coast. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Sunshine Coast right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Sunshine Coast's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Sunshine Coast weather by month

what to expect in Sunshine Coast through the year, 1991-2020 averages

Here is Sunshine Coast's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Sunshine Coast by season.

Jan
28°
21°
Warm
Feb
28°
20°
Warm
Wettest
Mar
27°
19°
Warm
Apr
24°
16°
Warm
May
22°
14°
Warm
Jun
21°
10°
Mild
Jul
20°
10°
Mild
Aug
21°
11°
Mild
Sep
23°
13°
Warm
Oct
25°
15°
Warm
Nov
26°
18°
Warm
Dec
28°
20°
Warm

What Sunshine Coast's weather is like through the year

Sunshine Coast runs from warm summers, with January highs near 28°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 10°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and Sunshine Coast sees roughly 1646 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Sunshine Coast

The most comfortable time to visit Sunshine Coast is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.

How Sunshine Coast's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.4°C

Around Sunshine Coast, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.

1995: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average1996: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.8°C vs the 30-year average2000: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2003: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2006: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2013: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2014: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2015: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2019: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2021: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2022: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.7°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.9°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

1 fewer day a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: −1 vs the 30-year average1996: +7 vs the 30-year average1997: +3 vs the 30-year average1998: +0 vs the 30-year average1999: −7 vs the 30-year average2000: −2 vs the 30-year average2001: +3 vs the 30-year average2002: +10 vs the 30-year average2003: −6 vs the 30-year average2004: +3 vs the 30-year average2005: +8 vs the 30-year average2006: −2 vs the 30-year average2007: −6 vs the 30-year average2008: −3 vs the 30-year average2009: −3 vs the 30-year average2010: −7 vs the 30-year average2011: −9 vs the 30-year average2012: −2 vs the 30-year average2013: −3 vs the 30-year average2014: +7 vs the 30-year average2015: −2 vs the 30-year average2016: −3 vs the 30-year average2017: +1 vs the 30-year average2018: +4 vs the 30-year average2019: +6 vs the 30-year average2020: −6 vs the 30-year average2021: −5 vs the 30-year average2022: −8 vs the 30-year average2023: +9 vs the 30-year average2024: +0 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−5%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004

1995: +3% vs the 30-year average1996: +6% vs the 30-year average1997: +3% vs the 30-year average1998: −1% vs the 30-year average1999: +6% vs the 30-year average2000: +6% vs the 30-year average2001: −1% vs the 30-year average2002: +3% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: −1% vs the 30-year average2005: +1% vs the 30-year average2006: −1% vs the 30-year average2007: −1% vs the 30-year average2008: +3% vs the 30-year average2009: +1% vs the 30-year average2010: −1% vs the 30-year average2011: −1% vs the 30-year average2012: +1% vs the 30-year average2013: +3% vs the 30-year average2014: −1% vs the 30-year average2015: −4% vs the 30-year average2016: −1% vs the 30-year average2017: −4% vs the 30-year average2018: +1% vs the 30-year average2019: −4% vs the 30-year average2020: −4% vs the 30-year average2021: −6% vs the 30-year average2022: +3% vs the 30-year average2023: −6% vs the 30-year average2024: −1% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995−0.3°C−1+3%
1996−0.1°C+7+6%
1997−0.1°C+3+3%
1998+0.5°C+0−1%
1999−0.8°C−7+6%
2000−0.6°C−2+6%
2001+0.2°C+3−1%
2002+0.3°C+10+3%
2003−0.2°C−6+1%
2004+0.4°C+3−1%
2005+0.4°C+8+1%
2006±0.0°C−2−1%
2007−0.3°C−6−1%
2008−0.5°C−3+3%
2009+0.2°C−3+1%
2010−0.1°C−7−1%
2011−0.6°C−9−1%
2012−0.5°C−2+1%
2013−0.1°C−3+3%
2014+0.1°C+7−1%
2015±0.0°C−2−4%
2016+0.5°C−3−1%
2017+0.6°C+1−4%
2018+0.2°C+4+1%
2019+0.5°C+6−4%
2020+0.4°C−6−4%
2021±0.0°C−5−6%
2022−0.4°C−8+3%
2023+0.7°C+9−6%
2024+0.9°C+0−1%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Sunshine Coast, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sunshine Coast?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C97±1.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C97±1.6 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
68
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C96±2.1 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Sunshine Coast, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 81. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±17%83% to 100% chance
Mon±3°30° to 33°±14%62% to 76% chance
Tue±1°28° to 29°±59%20% to 79% chance
Wed±4°24° to 28°±41%20% to 61% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Sunshine Coast

today, local time
Sunrise
05:04
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Sunshine Coast today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Sunshine Coast's high today between 22° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Sunshine Coast today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Sunshine Coast on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 83% (European 100%, American 97%, German 83%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sunshine Coast?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sunshine Coast (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sunshine Coast?
January is typically the warmest month in Sunshine Coast, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Sunshine Coast get?
The coldest month in Sunshine Coast is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Sunshine Coast get?
Sunshine Coast sees roughly 1646 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Sunshine Coast?
The most comfortable time to visit Sunshine Coast is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Sunshine Coast?
Rarely - Sunshine Coast very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.
Is Sunshine Coast getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Sunshine Coast, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004.

Nearby

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