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CheckWeather AU›Mountain Creek
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Mountain Creek weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mountain Creek's high today between 22° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain.

23°18°
25°20°
32°21°
28°19°
26°17°
24°19°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaymodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±5°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
20°
Light rain
Feels 22° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 21° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 98%
GermanDWD ICON
21°
Light rain
Feels 24° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 98%

Latest for Mountain Creek: European (ECMWF): 20° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Heavy drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light rain.

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Mountain Creek weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Mountain Creek swings 17°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 11°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1662 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
28°C average high
Coldest month
June
11°C average low
Wettest month
February
1662 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
11,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mountain Creek and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Mountain Creek hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Mountain Creek 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
23° 18°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
25° 20°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
32° 21°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
28° 19°
models agree
Wed
Showers
26° 17°
±5°
Thu
Drizzle
24° 19°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
27° 18°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
31° 17°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
23° 17°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
25° 16°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
28° 17°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
27° 17°
models agree

Mountain Creek, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 11°C), with roughly 1662 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mountain Creek right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mountain Creek climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
28°
22°
Feb
27°
21°
Mar
26°
20°
Apr
24°
17°
May
22°
15°
Jun
21°
11°
Jul
20°
11°
Aug
21°
12°
Sep
23°
14°
Oct
24°
16°
Nov
25°
19°
Dec
27°
21°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Mountain Creek has changed since 1995

Mountain Creek sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sunshine Coast. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sunshine Coast page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Mountain Creek?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
73±1.5°C92±4.0 km/h8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
79
/100rank #2
74±1.4°C90±5.0 km/h7687% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
63
/100rank #3
59±2.3°C90±5.1 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°22° to 24°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°24° to 25°±17%83% to 100% chance
Mon±2°31° to 33°±14%62% to 76% chance
Tue±1°28° to 29°±59%20% to 79% chance
Wed±5°24° to 28°±41%20% to 61% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mountain Creek

today, local time
Sunrise
05:04
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mountain Creek today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Mountain Creek's high today between 22° and 24°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 25°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Mountain Creek today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Mountain Creek on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 83% (European 100%, American 97%, German 83%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mountain Creek?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for Mountain Creek (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the European at 79. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mountain Creek?
January is typically the warmest month in Mountain Creek, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Mountain Creek get?
The coldest month in Mountain Creek is June, when overnight lows average about 11°C.
How much rain does Mountain Creek get?
Mountain Creek sees roughly 1662 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

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