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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AULittle Mountain
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Little Mountain weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 33° in Little Mountain today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 24% chance of rain.

33°17°
23°15°
22°14°
22°14°
20°15°
21°13°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaysplit ±2°Fridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
33°
Cloudy
Today 33°·Low 16°·Rain 2%
AmericanNOAA GFS
34°
Cloudy
Today 34°·Low 15°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
33°
Partly cloudy
Today 33°·Low 18°·Rain 8%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Little Mountain and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
33° 17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
23° 15°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
22° 14°
models agree
Thu
Showers
20° 15°
±2°
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Drizzle
19° 13°
±4°
Sun
Light drizzle
21° 11°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Tue
Clear
25° 13°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
25° 14°
±7°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 12°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
24° 11°
±3°

Little Mountain is a small town of about 9,967 people in Queensland, sitting at 26.8°S in a subtropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Little Mountain with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Caloundra West, Currimundi, Caloundra.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Little Mountain?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C95±2.3 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C95±2.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
85
/100rank #3
90±0.6°C96±1.9 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°33° to 34°±8%0% to 8% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 23°±24%0% to 24% chance
Tue±1°21° to 22°±60%18% to 78% chance
Wedmodels agree22° to 22°±52%1% to 53% chance
Thu±2°19° to 21°±66%21% to 87% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Little Mountain

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:37
Daylight
11h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Little Mountain today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Little Mountain today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Little Mountain today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Little Mountain and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Little Mountain?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Little Mountain (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather