Caloundra weather
Loading live data…Light rain,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 23° in Caloundra today. Tomorrow: rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.
Latest for Caloundra: European (ECMWF): 20° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 19° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 21° Light rain.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Caloundra weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsCaloundra swings 18°C across the year, from 28°C highs in January to 10°C lows in July, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1566 mm of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Caloundra and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Caloundra hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Caloundra 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitCaloundra, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Caloundra right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Caloundra's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Caloundra weather by month
what to expect in Caloundra through the year, 1991-2020 averagesHere is Caloundra's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Caloundra by season.
What Caloundra's weather is like through the year
Caloundra runs from warm summers, with January highs near 28°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 10°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and Caloundra sees roughly 1566 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Caloundra
The most comfortable time to visit Caloundra is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
How Caloundra's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as changeAround Caloundra, 2015-2024 averaged 0.4°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2024.
Days above 30°C
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
2015-2024 against 1995-2004
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
| Year | Temp vs average | Days >30°C vs avg | Wind vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | −0.3°C | +0 | +5% |
| 1996 | −0.3°C | +6 | +5% |
| 1997 | −0.2°C | +3 | +3% |
| 1998 | +0.4°C | +9 | −2% |
| 1999 | −0.8°C | −11 | +5% |
| 2000 | −0.6°C | −4 | +5% |
| 2001 | +0.1°C | +0 | −2% |
| 2002 | +0.3°C | +12 | +5% |
| 2003 | −0.2°C | −6 | +0% |
| 2004 | +0.3°C | +9 | +0% |
| 2005 | +0.4°C | +9 | +0% |
| 2006 | −0.1°C | −6 | −2% |
| 2007 | −0.3°C | −8 | +0% |
| 2008 | −0.6°C | −9 | +3% |
| 2009 | +0.1°C | +0 | +0% |
| 2010 | −0.2°C | −8 | −2% |
| 2011 | −0.7°C | −13 | +0% |
| 2012 | −0.6°C | −6 | +0% |
| 2013 | −0.2°C | +0 | +3% |
| 2014 | +0.1°C | +7 | −2% |
| 2015 | −0.1°C | −6 | −5% |
| 2016 | +0.5°C | −4 | −2% |
| 2017 | +0.6°C | +13 | −2% |
| 2018 | +0.2°C | +5 | +0% |
| 2019 | +0.5°C | +9 | −2% |
| 2020 | +0.3°C | −6 | −2% |
| 2021 | −0.2°C | −7 | −5% |
| 2022 | −0.5°C | −6 | +3% |
| 2023 | +0.6°C | +10 | −7% |
| 2024 | +0.8°C | −2 | −2% |
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Caloundra, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Caloundra?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Caloundra, scoring 90/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 83. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.