Caloundra weather
Loading live data…Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 33° in Caloundra today. Tomorrow looks light drizzle around 23°, with a 24% chance of rain.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Caloundra and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Next 14 hours
consensus of the three models14-day forecast
where the models agree, and where they splitCaloundra, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Caloundra right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Caloundra's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Caloundra weather by month
what to expect in Caloundra through the yearHere is Caloundra's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Caloundra by season.
What Caloundra's weather is like through the year
Caloundra runs from warm summers, with December highs near 29°C, to cold winters, when July lows sit around 11°C (a swing of about 18°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Caloundra sees roughly 1379 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Caloundra
The most comfortable time to visit Caloundra is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
Which forecast is most accurate in Caloundra?
CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Caloundra, scoring 87/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 83. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.