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Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 2°C

Buderim weather

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Light rain,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Buderim's high today between 21° and 23°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain.

22°17°
24°19°
30°20°
27°18°
25°17°
23°18°
Todaysplit ±2°Tomorrowmodels agreeMondaysplit ±3°Tuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaysplit ±4°Thursdaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
19°
Light rain
Feels 21° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 99%
AmericanNOAA GFS
18°
Heavy drizzle
Feels 20° · Wind 10 km/h · Humidity 98%
GermanDWD ICON
20°
Light showers
Feels 23° · Wind 6 km/h · Humidity 97%

Latest for Buderim: European (ECMWF): 19° Light rain · American (NOAA GFS): 18° Heavy drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 20° Light showers.

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Buderim weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Buderim swings 18°C across the year, from 27°C highs in January to 9°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1658 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
27°C average high
Coldest month
June
9°C average low
Wettest month
February
1658 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
March, April, May and June
Residents
29,000
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Buderim and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Buderim hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Buderim 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light rain
22° 17°
±2°
Tomorrow
Rain
24° 19°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
30° 20°
±3°
Tue
Drizzle
27° 18°
models agree
Wed
Showers
25° 17°
±4°
Thu
Drizzle
23° 18°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
23° 16°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
31° 16°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
23° 16°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
22° 16°
±3°
Wed
Drizzle
24° 16°
±3°
Thu
Light drizzle
28° 16°
±3°
Fri
Light drizzle
26° 16°
models agree

Buderim, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 27°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 9°C), with roughly 1658 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Buderim right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Buderim climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
27°
20°
Feb
27°
19°
Mar
26°
19°
Apr
24°
15°
May
22°
13°
Jun
20°
9°
Jul
19°
9°
Aug
20°
10°
Sep
23°
12°
Oct
24°
15°
Nov
25°
17°
Dec
27°
19°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How the weather around Buderim has changed since 1995

Buderim sits in the same roughly 50 km square of NASA's reanalysis as Sunshine Coast. That square ran 0.4°C warmer in 2015-2024 than in 1995-2004. See the full 30-year picture on the Sunshine Coast page.

Which forecast is most accurate in Buderim?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
84±0.9°C97±1.6 km/h9597% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
81
/100rank #2
76±1.3°C97±1.6 km/h7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
68
/100rank #3
68±1.8°C96±2.1 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°21° to 23°±5%95% to 100% chance
Tomorrow±1°23° to 24°±17%83% to 100% chance
Mon±3°29° to 32°±14%62% to 76% chance
Tue±1°27° to 28°±59%20% to 79% chance
Wed±4°23° to 27°±41%20% to 61% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Buderim

today, local time
Sunrise
05:04
Sunset
18:00
Daylight
12h 56m

Common questions

What's the weather in Buderim today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Buderim's high today between 21° and 23°, a 2° split. Tomorrow: rain, around 24°, with a 100% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Buderim today or tomorrow?
Rain is likely in Buderim on Sunday 25 October: every model gives at least 83% (European 100%, American 97%, German 83%). On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Buderim?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Buderim (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 81. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Buderim?
January is typically the warmest month in Buderim, with average highs around 27°C.
How cold does Buderim get?
The coldest month in Buderim is June, when overnight lows average about 9°C.
How much rain does Buderim get?
Buderim sees roughly 1658 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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