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CheckWeather AUNoosa Heads
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 4°C

Noosa Heads weather

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Mostly clear,cooler tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Noosa Heads's high today between 31° and 34°, a 4° split. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 22°, with a 4% chance of rain.

32°16°
22°15°
21°14°
22°14°
20°14°
21°14°
Todaysplit ±4°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
22°
Clear
Feels 22° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 62%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Overcast
Feels 21° · Wind 12 km/h · Humidity 56%
GermanDWD ICON
22°
Partly cloudy
Feels 21° · Wind 14 km/h · Humidity 62%

Latest for Noosa Heads: European (ECMWF): 22° Clear · American (NOAA GFS): 22° Overcast · German (DWD ICON): 22° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Noosa Heads and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Mostly clear
32° 16°
±4°
Tomorrow
Cloudy
22° 15°
models agree
Tue
Drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
22° 14°
models agree
Thu
Drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 14°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
20° 14°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
22° 13°
models agree
Mon
Light drizzle
22° 11°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
24° 12°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
24° 14°
±4°
Thu
Light drizzle
22° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
21° 13°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
24° 11°
±4°

Noosa Heads, Queensland is at its warmest in Feb (average highs near 28°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 13°C), with roughly 1275 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Noosa Heads right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Noosa Heads climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
27°
23°
Feb
28°
23°
Mar
27°
22°
Apr
25°
19°
May
22°
15°
Jun
22°
13°
Jul
20°
13°
Aug
22°
15°
Sep
23°
16°
Oct
25°
18°
Nov
26°
21°
Dec
28°
22°

Which forecast is most accurate in Noosa Heads?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
G
German ★ Best
83
/100rank #1
87±0.7°C92±3.9 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
82
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C93±3.7 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
European logo
European
81
/100rank #3
88±0.6°C92±3.9 km/t6581% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±4°31° to 34°±19%1% to 20% chance
Tomorrow±1°22° to 23°±4%0% to 4% chance
Tue±2°21° to 22°±73%5% to 78% chance
Wed±1°21° to 22°±45%0% to 45% chance
Thu±2°20° to 22°±84%9% to 93% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Noosa Heads

today, local time
Sunrise
05:55
Sunset
17:37
Daylight
11h 42m

Common questions

What's the weather in Noosa Heads today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Noosa Heads today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Noosa Heads today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Noosa Heads and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Noosa Heads?
Over the last 30 days, the German model has been the most accurate for Noosa Heads (CheckWeather Score 83/100), ahead of the American at 82. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Noosa Heads?
February is typically the warmest month in Noosa Heads, with average highs around 28°C.
How cold does Noosa Heads get?
The coldest month in Noosa Heads is June, when overnight lows average about 13°C.
How much rain does Noosa Heads get?
Noosa Heads sees roughly 1275 mm of precipitation a year, with December usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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