Cradle Mountain swings 16°C across the year, from 16°C highs in January to 0°C lows in June, and July is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 2182 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
16°C average high
Coldest month
June
0°C average low
Wettest month
July
2182 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
1 month
January
Residents
288
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Cradle Mountain and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Cradle Mountain hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Cradle Mountain 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Cradle Mountain, Tasmania is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 16°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 0°C), with roughly 2182 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Cradle Mountain right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
16°
6°
Feb
15°
6°
Mar
12°
5°
Apr
9°
3°
May
8°
1°
Jun
5°
0°
Jul
5°
0°
Aug
5°
0°
Sep
6°
0°
Oct
10°
1°
Nov
12°
3°
Dec
14°
5°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Cradle Mountain's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.7°C
Around Cradle Mountain, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004. 6 of the 10 warmest years since 1995 fall in the last ten, and the warmest was 2023.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 25°C
7 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Frost nights
1 fewer night a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004, below 0°C. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
+3%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >25°C vs avg
Frost nights vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
−1.1°C
−3
+14
−4%
1996
−1.3°C
−10
+10
+2%
1997
−0.5°C
−3
+8
−4%
1998
−0.4°C
+2
−1
−1%
1999
+0.2°C
−7
−0
−8%
2000
+0.2°C
+3
−9
+2%
2001
+0.1°C
+2
−6
−8%
2002
−0.2°C
−10
−5
+6%
2003
−0.1°C
−1
+3
+2%
2004
−0.5°C
−10
+3
+2%
2005
+0.1°C
−5
−11
+2%
2006
−0.8°C
−4
+6
+2%
2007
+0.3°C
+8
+7
−1%
2008
−0.1°C
+3
−1
−1%
2009
+0.1°C
+0
−10
−1%
2010
+0.1°C
+4
−2
−1%
2011
−0.3°C
−10
+2
−1%
2012
−0.1°C
−3
−4
−1%
2013
+0.1°C
+7
−2
+2%
2014
+0.4°C
+3
−4
−8%
2015
±0.0°C
+3
+17
−1%
2016
+0.4°C
+6
−10
+6%
2017
+0.3°C
+0
+7
−1%
2018
+0.5°C
+11
−0
+2%
2019
+0.2°C
+15
+4
+9%
2020
−0.2°C
+0
+2
−1%
2021
−0.1°C
−5
−5
+2%
2022
+0.6°C
+0
−2
−4%
2023
+0.7°C
−2
−9
+2%
2024
+0.5°C
+3
+8
+2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Cradle Mountain, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Cradle Mountain?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
94
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C
95±2.4 km/h
100100% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
88
/100rank #2
81±1.0°C
89±5.6 km/h
9597% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
87
/100rank #3
82±1.0°C
93±3.4 km/h
8994% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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Common questions
What's the weather in Cradle Mountain today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Cradle Mountain today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Cradle Mountain today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Cradle Mountain and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Cradle Mountain?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Cradle Mountain (CheckWeather Score 94/100), ahead of the American at 88. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Cradle Mountain?
January is typically the warmest month in Cradle Mountain, with average highs around 16°C.
How cold does Cradle Mountain get?
The coldest month in Cradle Mountain is June, when overnight lows average about 0°C.
How much rain does Cradle Mountain get?
Cradle Mountain sees roughly 2182 mm of precipitation a year, with July usually the wettest month.
Is Cradle Mountain getting warmer?
Yes. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Cradle Mountain, 2015-2024 averaged 0.7°C warmer than 1995-2004.
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