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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUBurnie
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Burnie weather

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Cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 17° in Burnie today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 14°, with a 74% chance of rain.

17°
14°
13°
12°
15°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaysplit ±3°Wednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaysplit ±4°
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
16°
Cloudy
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Partly cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Burnie and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
14°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
12°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Fri
Clear
17°
±4°
Sat
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Sun
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Mon
Drizzle
14°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
13°
±3°
Wed
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
12°
±3°
Fri
Light rain
16°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
16°
models agree

Burnie is a small town of about 20,000 people in Tasmania, sitting at 41.1°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Burnie with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Wynyard, Ulverstone, Devonport.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Burnie?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
93
/100rank #1
94±0.3°C98±1.2 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
85
/100rank #2
92±0.5°C86±7.2 km/t7687% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
83
/100rank #3
90±0.5°C89±5.5 km/t7184% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°13° to 15°±66%8% to 74% chance
Tue±3°12° to 15°±65%3% to 68% chance
Wed±2°11° to 13°±69%1% to 70% chance
Thu±1°15° to 16°±6%0% to 6% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Burnie

today, local time
Sunrise
06:33
Sunset
17:57
Daylight
11h 24m

Common questions

What's the weather in Burnie today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Burnie today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Burnie today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Burnie and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Burnie?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Burnie (CheckWeather Score 93/100), ahead of the American at 85. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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