Forecast confidence: Medium· models disagree by 4°C
Moranbah weather
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Thunderstorm,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Moranbah's high today between 25° and 29°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 31°, with a 69% chance of rain.
Moranbah swings 22°C across the year, from 32°C highs in November to 10°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 561 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
November
32°C average high
Coldest month
June
10°C average low
Wettest month
February
561 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
12,000
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Moranbah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Moranbah hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Moranbah 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Thunderstorm
27°21°
±4°
Tomorrow
Light drizzle
31°20°
±3°
Mon
Light drizzle
33°21°
models agree
Tue
Heavy drizzle
34°22°
±4°
Wed
Showers
32°22°
±4°
Thu
Cloudy
32°21°
±4°
Fri
Light drizzle
30°20°
±4°
Sat
Light drizzle
30°21°
models agree
Sun
Clear
33°22°
models agree
Mon
Clear
32°21°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
32°20°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
32°20°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
33°20°
±5°
Fri
Light drizzle
34°21°
±5°
Moranbah, Queensland is at its warmest in Nov (average highs near 32°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 10°C), with roughly 561 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Moranbah right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
31°
21°
Feb
31°
22°
Mar
30°
20°
Apr
28°
17°
May
26°
15°
Jun
23°
10°
Jul
22°
11°
Aug
25°
11°
Sep
28°
14°
Oct
31°
17°
Nov
32°
20°
Dec
32°
21°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Moranbah's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.1°C
Around Moranbah, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.1°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 35°C
1 fewer day a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−4%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >35°C vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.2°C
+19
+4%
1996
+0.4°C
+13
+4%
1997
−0.3°C
−7
+1%
1998
+0.3°C
+0
−1%
1999
−0.2°C
−29
+6%
2000
−1.1°C
−37
+6%
2001
+0.6°C
+15
−1%
2002
+0.6°C
+44
+1%
2003
+0.4°C
+5
+1%
2004
+0.7°C
+13
−1%
2005
+0.8°C
+41
+1%
2006
±0.0°C
+13
+6%
2007
−0.6°C
−19
−1%
2008
−0.9°C
−16
−6%
2009
−0.2°C
−11
−3%
2010
−1.1°C
−60
−1%
2011
−1.8°C
−31
−1%
2012
−1.1°C
+0
−6%
2013
+0.1°C
+17
+1%
2014
−0.1°C
−1
+1%
2015
+0.6°C
+13
+1%
2016
+0.2°C
−6
−6%
2017
−0.2°C
−17
−8%
2018
+0.3°C
+7
+1%
2019
−0.1°C
+9
+1%
2020
+0.3°C
+12
−1%
2021
+0.1°C
−9
−3%
2022
−0.1°C
+3
−3%
2023
+0.5°C
−1
−1%
2024
+0.7°C
+19
+1%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Moranbah, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Moranbah?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
98±0.1°C
97±1.6 km/h
100100% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
87
/100rank #2
79±1.2°C
96±1.9 km/h
8994% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American
84
/100rank #3
79±1.2°C
78±10.8 km/h
9597% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separately
Day
Temperature
Rain
Today
±4°25° to 29°
models agree100% to 100% chance
Tomorrow
±3°30° to 33°
±36%33% to 69% chance
Mon
±2°32° to 34°
±12%24% to 36% chance
Tue
±4°32° to 35°
±20%35% to 55% chance
Wed
±4°31° to 35°
±18%34% to 52% chance
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.
Sunrise and sunset in Moranbah
today, local time
Sunrise
05:29
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
12h 46m
Common questions
What's the weather in Moranbah today?
Saturday 24 October: European, the American and the German model put Moranbah's high today between 25° and 29°, a 4° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 31°, with a 69% chance of rain. The forecast on this page refreshes live.
Will it rain in Moranbah today or tomorrow?
The models split on rain in Moranbah on Sunday 25 October: European 69%, American 38%, German 33%. When they disagree like this, treat any single app's answer with caution. On Saturday 24 October the highest chance of rain from any model is 100%. The hourly strip and the model-by-model rain panel above update live.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moranbah?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moranbah (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the German at 87. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Moranbah?
November is typically the warmest month in Moranbah, with average highs around 32°C.
How cold does Moranbah get?
The coldest month in Moranbah is June, when overnight lows average about 10°C.
How much rain does Moranbah get?
Moranbah sees roughly 561 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Moranbah getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Moranbah, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.1°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
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