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CheckWeather AUMoranbah
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Moranbah weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 31° in Moranbah today. Tomorrow looks clear around 33°, with a 0% chance of rain.

31°12°
33°15°
31°15°
29°17°
28°15°
27°15°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
30°
Clear
Today 30°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
31°
Clear
Today 31°·Low 13°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
32°
Fog
Today 32°·Low 10°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Moranbah and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
31° 12°
models agree
Tomorrow
Clear
33° 15°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
31° 15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
29° 17°
models agree
Thu
Cloudy
28° 15°
models agree
Fri
Cloudy
27° 15°
models agree
Sat
Mostly clear
26° 13°
±4°
Sun
Clear
28° 13°
models agree
Mon
Clear
26° 14°
±3°
Tue
Clear
29° 14°
models agree
Wed
Clear
31° 15°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
30° 16°
±6°
Fri
Cloudy
26° 15°
±3°
Sat
Partly cloudy
29° 13°
±3°

Moranbah is a small town of about 12,000 people in Queensland, sitting at 22.0°S in a tropical climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Moranbah with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Sarina, West Mackay, Mackay.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Moranbah?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
97
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C97±1.3 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
93
/100rank #2
86±0.8°C96±2.0 km/t100100% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
90
/100rank #3
88±0.7°C81±9.6 km/t100100% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°30° to 32°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°33° to 35°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±2°30° to 32°±2%0% to 2% chance
Wed±1°29° to 30°±14%0% to 14% chance
Thu±2°27° to 29°±4%0% to 4% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Moranbah

today, local time
Sunrise
06:13
Sunset
17:59
Daylight
11h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in Moranbah today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Moranbah today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Moranbah today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Moranbah and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Moranbah?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Moranbah (CheckWeather Score 97/100), ahead of the German at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

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