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CheckWeather AUSouth Mackay
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 0°C

South Mackay weather

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Clear,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 27° in South Mackay today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 30°, with a 0% chance of rain.

27°13°
30°13°
27°16°
26°17°
25°15°
24°18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
27°
Clear
Today 27°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
27°
Mostly clear
Today 27°·Low 14°·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
27°
Fog
Today 27°·Low 12°·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around South Mackay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Clear
27° 13°
models agree
Tomorrow
Mostly clear
30° 13°
models agree
Tue
Light drizzle
27° 16°
models agree
Wed
Light drizzle
26° 17°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
25° 15°
models agree
Fri
Light drizzle
24° 18°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
24° 17°
models agree
Sun
Mostly clear
25° 16°
models agree
Mon
Mostly clear
25° 16°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
26° 15°
models agree
Wed
Clear
27° 14°
models agree
Thu
Light drizzle
26° 16°
±5°
Fri
Cloudy
24° 17°
models agree
Sat
Light drizzle
25° 15°
models agree

South Mackay, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 29°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 16°C), with roughly 1393 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for South Mackay right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

South Mackay climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
29°
25°
Feb
29°
24°
Mar
29°
24°
Apr
27°
22°
May
24°
18°
Jun
23°
16°
Jul
22°
16°
Aug
23°
16°
Sep
25°
19°
Oct
27°
20°
Nov
28°
23°
Dec
29°
24°

Which forecast is most accurate in South Mackay?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
American logo
American ★ Best
71
/100rank #1
62±2.1°C95±2.4 km/t6581% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
60
/100rank #2
70±1.7°C94±3.1 km/t2458% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
European logo
European
58
/100rank #3
60±2.2°C94±2.8 km/t2961% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Todaymodels agree27° to 27°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±1°29° to 31°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tue±1°27° to 27°±21%3% to 24% chance
Wed±1°25° to 26°±22%20% to 42% chance
Thu±1°25° to 26°±54%0% to 54% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in South Mackay

today, local time
Sunrise
06:09
Sunset
17:55
Daylight
11h 46m

Common questions

What's the weather in South Mackay today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for South Mackay today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in South Mackay today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for South Mackay and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for South Mackay?
Over the last 30 days, the American model has been the most accurate for South Mackay (CheckWeather Score 71/100), ahead of the German at 60. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in South Mackay?
January is typically the warmest month in South Mackay, with average highs around 29°C.
How cold does South Mackay get?
The coldest month in South Mackay is June, when overnight lows average about 16°C.
How much rain does South Mackay get?
South Mackay sees roughly 1393 mm of precipitation a year, with January usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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