Mackay weather
Loading live data…Light rain,rain likely tomorrow
European, the American and the German model put Mackay's high today between 25° and 29°, a 3° split. Tomorrow: light drizzle, around 30°, with a 76% chance of rain.
Latest for Mackay: European (ECMWF): 22° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 22° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 23° Overcast.
CheckWeather.io on iPhoneFree. No ads, no account.Mackay weather in numbers
from 30 years of measured normalsMackay swings 14°C across the year, from 29°C highs in January to 15°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1461 mm of precipitation.
The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Mackay and nearby towns.Live rain radar →Mackay hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three modelsRain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by sideLoading the three models…
Mackay 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they splitMackay, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Mackay right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Mackay's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Mackay weather by month
what to expect in Mackay through the year, 1991-2020 averagesHere is Mackay's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Mackay by season.
What Mackay's weather is like through the year
Mackay runs from warm summers, with January highs near 29°C, to cool winters, when June lows sit around 15°C (a swing of about 14°C across the year). February is usually the wettest month, and Mackay sees roughly 1461 mm of precipitation annually.
Best time to visit Mackay
The most comfortable time to visit Mackay is usually April, May, June and July, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest February rain is behind you.
How Mackay's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as changeAround Mackay, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
Days above 30°C
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
| Year | Temp vs average | Days >30°C vs avg | Wind vs avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1995 | ±0.0°C | +6 | +1% |
| 1996 | ±0.0°C | −6 | +1% |
| 1997 | −0.6°C | −5 | +5% |
| 1998 | +0.5°C | −4 | −3% |
| 1999 | −0.6°C | −3 | +5% |
| 2000 | −0.9°C | −5 | +5% |
| 2001 | +0.2°C | +2 | −3% |
| 2002 | +0.2°C | +7 | +1% |
| 2003 | +0.2°C | −3 | +1% |
| 2004 | +0.2°C | +2 | −1% |
| 2005 | +0.4°C | +7 | +1% |
| 2006 | −0.3°C | −5 | +7% |
| 2007 | −0.6°C | −6 | +1% |
| 2008 | −0.4°C | +1 | −3% |
| 2009 | +0.1°C | −5 | −1% |
| 2010 | +0.1°C | −5 | +1% |
| 2011 | −0.7°C | −5 | +1% |
| 2012 | −0.6°C | −3 | −5% |
| 2013 | −0.1°C | −3 | −1% |
| 2014 | −0.3°C | −4 | +1% |
| 2015 | +0.2°C | +5 | −1% |
| 2016 | +0.6°C | +8 | −3% |
| 2017 | +0.3°C | −1 | −5% |
| 2018 | +0.1°C | +9 | +3% |
| 2019 | −0.2°C | −2 | +3% |
| 2020 | +0.2°C | +7 | −3% |
| 2021 | +0.2°C | −4 | −5% |
| 2022 | +0.1°C | +11 | −1% |
| 2023 | +0.4°C | −1 | −1% |
| 2024 | +0.5°C | +9 | −1% |
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Mackay, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Mackay?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Mackay, scoring 79/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 79. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
What do you think of the forecasts?
your vote countsThe accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.
Where the models disagree
temperature and rain, judged separatelyThe models often agree on temperature and still split on rain, and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.