Clear,much the same tomorrow
European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 27° in Mackay today. Tomorrow looks mostly clear around 30°, with a 0% chance of rain.
Mackay, Queensland. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Mackay right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Mackay's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.
We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.
Here is Mackay's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Mackay by season.
Mackay runs from warm summers, with January highs near 29°C, to cool winters, when June lows sit around 16°C (a swing of about 13°C across the year). January is usually the wettest month, and Mackay sees roughly 1393 mm of precipitation annually.
The most comfortable time to visit Mackay is usually May, June, July and August, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest January rain is behind you.
The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.
Bottom line: over the last 30 days the American model has been the most accurate forecast for Mackay, scoring 74/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the German at 67. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.
The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.