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Sarina weather

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EuropeanECMWF
22°
Light drizzle
Feels 25° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 90%
AmericanNOAA GFS
22°
Light drizzle
Feels 25° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 93%
GermanDWD ICON
24°
Overcast
Feels 27° · Wind 8 km/h · Humidity 87%

Latest for Sarina: European (ECMWF): 22° Light drizzle · American (NOAA GFS): 22° Light drizzle · German (DWD ICON): 24° Overcast.

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Sarina weather in numbers

from 30 years of measured normals

Sarina swings 17°C across the year, from 30°C highs in January to 13°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1397 mm of precipitation.

Warmest month
January
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
13°C average low
Wettest month
February
1397 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
5,534
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The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Sarina and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sarina hourly forecast: next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model

each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side

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Sarina 10-day forecast, out to 14 days

where the models agree, and where they split

Sarina, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 13°C), with roughly 1397 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Sarina right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Sarina climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
24°
Feb
30°
23°
Mar
28°
22°
Apr
27°
19°
May
24°
17°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
26°
17°
Oct
27°
19°
Nov
28°
21°
Dec
29°
22°

Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.

How Sarina's weather has changed since 1995

30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C

Around Sarina, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

1995: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average1996: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average1997: −0.4°C vs the 30-year average1998: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average1999: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2000: −1.0°C vs the 30-year average2001: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2002: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2003: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2004: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2005: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2006: −0.2°C vs the 30-year average2007: −0.6°C vs the 30-year average2008: −0.5°C vs the 30-year average2009: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2010: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2011: −0.9°C vs the 30-year average2012: −0.7°C vs the 30-year average2013: ±0.0°C vs the 30-year average2014: −0.3°C vs the 30-year average2015: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2016: +0.5°C vs the 30-year average2017: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2018: +0.3°C vs the 30-year average2019: −0.1°C vs the 30-year average2020: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2021: +0.2°C vs the 30-year average2022: +0.1°C vs the 30-year average2023: +0.4°C vs the 30-year average2024: +0.6°C vs the 30-year average
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average

Days above 30°C

8 more days a year

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +9 vs the 30-year average1996: +3 vs the 30-year average1997: −15 vs the 30-year average1998: −0 vs the 30-year average1999: −10 vs the 30-year average2000: −21 vs the 30-year average2001: +10 vs the 30-year average2002: +20 vs the 30-year average2003: −1 vs the 30-year average2004: +6 vs the 30-year average2005: +27 vs the 30-year average2006: −0 vs the 30-year average2007: −22 vs the 30-year average2008: −6 vs the 30-year average2009: −16 vs the 30-year average2010: −23 vs the 30-year average2011: −18 vs the 30-year average2012: −14 vs the 30-year average2013: −7 vs the 30-year average2014: +1 vs the 30-year average2015: +3 vs the 30-year average2016: +12 vs the 30-year average2017: −9 vs the 30-year average2018: +10 vs the 30-year average2019: −4 vs the 30-year average2020: +20 vs the 30-year average2021: −0 vs the 30-year average2022: +24 vs the 30-year average2023: +7 vs the 30-year average2024: +20 vs the 30-year average

Average wind

−2%

2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing

1995: +1% vs the 30-year average1996: +1% vs the 30-year average1997: +3% vs the 30-year average1998: −4% vs the 30-year average1999: +5% vs the 30-year average2000: +5% vs the 30-year average2001: −2% vs the 30-year average2002: +1% vs the 30-year average2003: +1% vs the 30-year average2004: +1% vs the 30-year average2005: +3% vs the 30-year average2006: +5% vs the 30-year average2007: +1% vs the 30-year average2008: −4% vs the 30-year average2009: −2% vs the 30-year average2010: +1% vs the 30-year average2011: +1% vs the 30-year average2012: −4% vs the 30-year average2013: +1% vs the 30-year average2014: +1% vs the 30-year average2015: +1% vs the 30-year average2016: −4% vs the 30-year average2017: −4% vs the 30-year average2018: +3% vs the 30-year average2019: +3% vs the 30-year average2020: −2% vs the 30-year average2021: −4% vs the 30-year average2022: −2% vs the 30-year average2023: −2% vs the 30-year average2024: −2% vs the 30-year average

Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.

See the numbers year by year
YearTemp vs averageDays >30°C vs avgWind vs avg
1995+0.2°C+9+1%
1996±0.0°C+3+1%
1997−0.4°C−15+3%
1998+0.4°C−0−4%
1999−0.5°C−10+5%
2000−1.0°C−21+5%
2001+0.3°C+10−2%
2002+0.4°C+20+1%
2003+0.2°C−1+1%
2004+0.4°C+6+1%
2005+0.5°C+27+3%
2006−0.2°C−0+5%
2007−0.6°C−22+1%
2008−0.5°C−6−4%
2009+0.1°C−16−2%
2010−0.1°C−23+1%
2011−0.9°C−18+1%
2012−0.7°C−14−4%
2013±0.0°C−7+1%
2014−0.3°C+1+1%
2015+0.3°C+3+1%
2016+0.5°C+12−4%
2017+0.2°C−9−4%
2018+0.3°C+10+3%
2019−0.1°C−4+3%
2020+0.2°C+20−2%
2021+0.2°C−0−4%
2022+0.1°C+24−2%
2023+0.4°C+7−2%
2024+0.6°C+20−2%

Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Sarina, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.

Which forecast is most accurate in Sarina?

CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather-scoreTempWindRainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C97±1.7 km/h8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
84
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C95±2.4 km/h8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C97±1.4 km/h4771% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy, each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1558 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

What do you think of the forecasts?

your vote counts

The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.

EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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One vote per service. Anonymous: we store no personal data, only a one-way hash of your connection for a day to stop double votes.

Common questions

What's the weather in Sarina today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Sarina today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sarina today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Sarina and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sarina?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sarina (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sarina?
January is typically the warmest month in Sarina, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Sarina get?
The coldest month in Sarina is June, when overnight lows average about 13°C.
How much rain does Sarina get?
Sarina sees roughly 1397 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Sarina getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Sarina, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.

Nearby

More AU weather