Sarina swings 17°C across the year, from 30°C highs in January to 13°C lows in June, and February is usually the wettest month in a year that brings about 1397 mm of precipitation.
Warmest month
January
30°C average high
Coldest month
June
13°C average low
Wettest month
February
1397 mm a year
Below freezing
Never
overnight lows stay above 0°C
Comfortable
4 months
May, June, July and August
Residents
5,534
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The weather map: all three models at once
European, American, German side by side around Sarina and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
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Sarina hourly forecast: next 14 hours
consensus of the three models
Rain in the next 24 hours, model by model
each model's own hourly precipitation, side by side
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Sarina 10-day forecast, out to 14 days
where the models agree, and where they split
Sarina, Queensland is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 30°C) and coldest in Jun (lows around 13°C), with roughly 1397 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Sarina right now, and see exactly where they disagree.
average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year (1991-2020)
Jan
30°
24°
Feb
30°
23°
Mar
28°
22°
Apr
27°
19°
May
24°
17°
Jun
23°
13°
Jul
21°
13°
Aug
23°
14°
Sep
26°
17°
Oct
27°
19°
Nov
28°
21°
Dec
29°
22°
Source: 1991-2020 averages, ERA5 for this place adjusted with NASA POWER.
How Sarina's weather has changed since 1995
30 years of daily data, 1995-2024, shown as change
+0.3°C
Around Sarina, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is +0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.
1995each stripe is one year2024
cooler than averagearound averagewarmer than average
Days above 30°C
8 more days a year
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Average wind
−2%
2015-2024 against 1995-2004. Within the normal year-to-year swing
Bars: each year against the area's 30-year average. Dashed lines: the average of the first and the last ten years.
See the numbers year by year
Year
Temp vs average
Days >30°C vs avg
Wind vs avg
1995
+0.2°C
+9
+1%
1996
±0.0°C
+3
+1%
1997
−0.4°C
−15
+3%
1998
+0.4°C
−0
−4%
1999
−0.5°C
−10
+5%
2000
−1.0°C
−21
+5%
2001
+0.3°C
+10
−2%
2002
+0.4°C
+20
+1%
2003
+0.2°C
−1
+1%
2004
+0.4°C
+6
+1%
2005
+0.5°C
+27
+3%
2006
−0.2°C
−0
+5%
2007
−0.6°C
−22
+1%
2008
−0.5°C
−6
−4%
2009
+0.1°C
−16
−2%
2010
−0.1°C
−23
+1%
2011
−0.9°C
−18
+1%
2012
−0.7°C
−14
−4%
2013
±0.0°C
−7
+1%
2014
−0.3°C
+1
+1%
2015
+0.3°C
+3
+1%
2016
+0.5°C
+12
−4%
2017
+0.2°C
−9
−4%
2018
+0.3°C
+10
+3%
2019
−0.1°C
−4
+3%
2020
+0.2°C
+20
−2%
2021
+0.2°C
−0
−4%
2022
+0.1°C
+24
−2%
2023
+0.4°C
+7
−2%
2024
+0.6°C
+20
−2%
Source: NASA POWER daily data from the MERRA-2 reanalysis, 1995-2024. Each value describes a grid square of about 50 km around Sarina, not a weather station, and a square that takes in sea or a large lake runs milder than the city itself. That is why this section shows change against the square's own 30-year average rather than counts you could compare with a local station. Rain and snow are left out because their long-term record in this dataset is not consistent over time. "Within the normal year-to-year swing" means the change is smaller than the usual differences between single years.
Which forecast is most accurate in Sarina?
CheckWeather Score, graded against the weather that actually happened
Provider
CheckWeather-score
Temp
Wind
Rain
Run by
European ★ Best
89
/100rank #1
89±0.6°C
97±1.7 km/h
8290% hit
ECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American
84
/100rank #2
80±1.1°C
95±2.4 km/h
8290% hit
NOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
78
/100rank #3
92±0.5°C
97±1.4 km/h
4771% hit
Deutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
The accuracy above is the measured record. This is your opinion: which forecast service do you trust most in Australia? Give each 1 to 5 stars.
EuropeanECMWF
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AmericanNOAA GFS
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GermanDWD ICON
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Common questions
What's the weather in Sarina today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Sarina today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Sarina today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Sarina and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Sarina?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Sarina (CheckWeather Score 89/100), ahead of the American at 84. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Sarina?
January is typically the warmest month in Sarina, with average highs around 30°C.
How cold does Sarina get?
The coldest month in Sarina is June, when overnight lows average about 13°C.
How much rain does Sarina get?
Sarina sees roughly 1397 mm of precipitation a year, with February usually the wettest month.
Is Sarina getting warmer?
Not clearly. In NASA's reanalysis for the area around Sarina, the difference between 1995-2004 and 2015-2024 is 0.3°C, within the normal swing from year to year.