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CheckWeather AUBlue Mountains
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 2°C

Blue Mountains weather

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Partly cloudy,rain likely tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 16° in Blue Mountains today. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 17°, with a 73% chance of rain.

16°
17°
13°
13°
13°
17°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowsplit ±4°Tuesdaysplit ±4°Wednesdaysplit ±6°Thursdaysplit ±3°Fridaysplit ±3°
EuropeanECMWF
16°
Light drizzle
Today 16°·Low ·Rain 37%
AmericanNOAA GFS
17°
Partly cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
15°
Partly cloudy
Today 15°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Blue Mountains and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Partly cloudy
16°
models agree
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
17°
±4°
Tue
Cloudy
13°
±4°
Wed
Light drizzle
13°
±6°
Thu
Mostly clear
13°
±3°
Fri
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Sat
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Mon
Clear
21°
models agree
Tue
Mostly clear
19°
±8°
Wed
Mostly clear
17°
±6°
Thu
Cloudy
14°
±8°
Fri
Clear
19°
±3°
Sat
Clear
24°
±3°

Blue Mountains, New South Wales. Below we compare what European, American, German forecast for Blue Mountains right now and flag exactly where they disagree, then break down Blue Mountains's weather month by month and which forecast model has been most accurate here.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Blue Mountains weather by month

what to expect in Blue Mountains through the year

Here is Blue Mountains's typical weather in each month: the average daytime high and overnight low in °C, how each month feels, and the wettest month marked. Use it to plan any trip to Blue Mountains by season.

Jan
22°
12°
Warm
Feb
23°
12°
Warm
Mar
21°
11°
Mild
Apr
16°
Mild
Wettest
May
13°
Cool
Jun
11°
Cool
Jul
11°
Cool
Aug
14°
Cool
Sep
17°
Mild
Oct
19°
Mild
Nov
21°
10°
Mild
Dec
25°
12°
Warm

What Blue Mountains's weather is like through the year

Blue Mountains runs from warm summers, with December highs near 25°C, to cold winters, when June lows sit around 2°C (a swing of about 23°C across the year). April is usually the wettest month, and Blue Mountains sees roughly 1162 mm of precipitation annually.

Best time to visit Blue Mountains

The most comfortable time to visit Blue Mountains is usually January, February, March and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.

Which forecast is most accurate in Blue Mountains?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
91
/100rank #1
92±0.5°C93±3.4 km/t8994% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
American logo
American
86
/100rank #2
78±1.2°C94±3.1 km/t8994% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA
G
German
84
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C95±2.6 km/t8290% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Bottom line: over the last 30 days the European model has been the most accurate forecast for Blue Mountains, scoring 91/100 on our CheckWeather Score, ahead of the American at 86. See the full AU accuracy scoreboard for exactly how every model is tested.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±2°15° to 17°±37%0% to 37% chance
Tomorrow±4°15° to 19°±46%27% to 73% chance
Tue±4°11° to 15°±49%26% to 75% chance
Wed±6°10° to 16°±27%31% to 58% chance
Thu±3°11° to 14°±29%0% to 29% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Blue Mountains

today, local time
Sunrise
06:10
Sunset
17:44
Daylight
11h 34m

Common questions

What's the weather in Blue Mountains today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Blue Mountains today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Blue Mountains today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Blue Mountains and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Blue Mountains?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Blue Mountains (CheckWeather Score 91/100), ahead of the American at 86. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Blue Mountains?
December is typically the warmest month in Blue Mountains, with average highs around 25°C.
How cold does Blue Mountains get?
The coldest month in Blue Mountains is June, when overnight lows average about 2°C.
How much rain does Blue Mountains get?
Blue Mountains sees roughly 1162 mm of precipitation a year, with April usually the wettest month.
When is the best time to visit Blue Mountains?
The most comfortable time to visit Blue Mountains is usually January, February, March and September, when daytime highs sit in the pleasant 16-26°C range and the heaviest April rain is behind you.
Does it snow in Blue Mountains?
Rarely - Blue Mountains very seldom sees overnight lows drop below freezing, so lasting snow is unusual.

Nearby

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