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CheckWeather AUMildura
Forecast confidence: Medium · models disagree by 3°C

Mildura weather

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Cloudy,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model put Mildura's high today between 17° and 19°, a 3° split. Tomorrow looks partly cloudy around 18°, with a 3% chance of rain.

17°
18°
18°
15°
18°
21°
Todaysplit ±3°Tomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%
AmericanNOAA GFS
19°
Clear
Today 19°·Low ·Rain 0%
GermanDWD ICON
17°
Cloudy
Today 17°·Low ·Rain 0%

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Mildura and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Cloudy
17°
±3°
Tomorrow
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
18°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Thu
Clear
18°
models agree
Fri
Clear
21°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
22° 10°
±3°
Sun
Cloudy
26° 14°
models agree
Mon
Partly cloudy
21° 10°
models agree
Tue
Partly cloudy
18°
±3°
Wed
Mostly clear
18°
±3°
Thu
Clear
21°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
27° 12°
±3°
Sat
Clear
26° 13°
±13°

Mildura, Victoria is at its warmest in Jan (average highs near 33°C) and coldest in Jul (lows around 6°C), with roughly 256 mm of precipitation across the year. Below, compare what European, American, German forecast for Mildura right now, and see exactly where they disagree.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Mildura climate by month

average daytime high and overnight low across a typical year
Jan
33°
19°
Feb
33°
18°
Mar
30°
17°
Apr
22°
11°
May
19°
Jun
16°
Jul
15°
Aug
19°
Sep
23°
Oct
26°
12°
Nov
29°
16°
Dec
32°
18°

Which forecast is most accurate in Mildura?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
98
/100rank #1
95±0.3°C98±1.2 km/t100100% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
93
/100rank #2
90±0.6°C96±1.8 km/t9597% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
86
/100rank #3
80±1.1°C85±7.7 km/t9597% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±3°17° to 19°models agree0% to 0% chance
Tomorrow±2°17° to 18°±3%0% to 3% chance
Tue±2°16° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance
Wed±1°15° to 16°±5%0% to 5% chance
Thu±2°17° to 18°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Mildura

today, local time
Sunrise
06:43
Sunset
18:15
Daylight
11h 32m

Common questions

What's the weather in Mildura today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Mildura today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Mildura today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Mildura and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Mildura?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Mildura (CheckWeather Score 98/100), ahead of the German at 93. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.
What is the warmest month in Mildura?
January is typically the warmest month in Mildura, with average highs around 33°C.
How cold does Mildura get?
The coldest month in Mildura is July, when overnight lows average about 6°C.
How much rain does Mildura get?
Mildura sees roughly 256 mm of precipitation a year, with November usually the wettest month.

Nearby

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