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Every Australian forecast, compared
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CheckWeather AUHorsham
Forecast confidence: High · models disagree by 1°C

Horsham weather

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Light drizzle,much the same tomorrow

European, the American and the German model agree on a high near 15° in Horsham today. Tomorrow looks cloudy around 15°, with a 5% chance of rain.

15°
15°
15°
13°
17°
18°
Todaymodels agreeTomorrowmodels agreeTuesdaymodels agreeWednesdaymodels agreeThursdaymodels agreeFridaymodels agree
EuropeanECMWF
14°
Partly cloudy
Feels 10° · Wind 16 km/h · Humidity 63%
AmericanNOAA GFS
14°
Clear
Feels 11° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 53%
GermanDWD ICON
14°
Partly cloudy
Feels 10° · Wind 19 km/h · Humidity 64%

Latest for Horsham: European (ECMWF): 14° Partly cloudy · American (NOAA GFS): 14° Clear · German (DWD ICON): 14° Partly cloudy.

The weather map: all three models at once

European, American, German side by side around Horsham and nearby towns.Live rain radar →
Loading the three model maps…

Next 14 hours

consensus of the three models

14-day forecast

where the models agree, and where they split
Today
Light drizzle
15°
models agree
Tomorrow
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Tue
Cloudy
15°
models agree
Wed
Cloudy
13°
models agree
Thu
Partly cloudy
17°
models agree
Fri
Partly cloudy
18°
models agree
Sat
Cloudy
19°
models agree
Sun
Drizzle
21°
±4°
Mon
Light drizzle
17°
±2°
Tue
Light drizzle
15°
±4°
Wed
Cloudy
14°
±3°
Thu
Mostly clear
17°
models agree
Fri
Drizzle
20° 10°
±7°
Sat
Cloudy
21° 10°
±11°

Horsham is a small town of about 17,000 people in Victoria, sitting at 36.7°S in a temperate climate zone. European, American, German each forecast Horsham with their own physics, so we line all three up and flag where they disagree. Nearby towns include Stawell, Ararat, Hamilton.

We grade every model against the weather that actually happened, so you can see which forecast model is most accurate in Australia before you trust any single number.

Which forecast is most accurate in Horsham?

CheckWeather Score — graded against the weather that actually happened
ProviderCheckWeather Score🌡 Temp💨 Wind🌧 RainRun by
European logo
European ★ Best
92
/100rank #1
96±0.2°C98±1.0 km/t8290% hitECMWF - European Centre for Medium-Range Weather ForecastsReading, United Kingdom
G
German
92
/100rank #2
92±0.4°C97±1.4 km/t8994% hitDeutscher Wetterdienst (DWD)Offenbach am Main, Germany
American logo
American
87
/100rank #3
87±0.7°C94±2.9 km/t8290% hitNOAA / NCEP (United States)College Park, Maryland, USA

The CheckWeather Score blends temperature, wind and rain accuracy — each measured against ERA5 (the recorded weather) over the last 30 days across 1493 cities. Lower error means a higher score. See which forecast model is most accurate in Australia, how we measure forecast accuracy, or which model each weather app uses.

Where the models disagree

temperature and rain, judged separately
DayTemperatureRain
Today±1°14° to 15°±10%0% to 10% chance
Tomorrow±2°14° to 15°±3%2% to 5% chance
Tue±1°14° to 15°±1%0% to 1% chance
Wed±1°13° to 13°±3%0% to 3% chance
Thu±1°16° to 17°models agree0% to 0% chance

The models often agree on temperature and still split on rain — and rain is usually what decides whether a plan survives. A wide rain range means the shower is genuinely uncertain, not that the forecast is wrong.

Sunrise and sunset in Horsham

today, local time
Sunrise
06:44
Sunset
18:14
Daylight
11h 30m

Common questions

What's the weather in Horsham today?
On this page we show what European, American, German each forecast for Horsham today, side by side and updated live. When all three agree the forecast is reliable; when they split, we flag it so you know the day is genuinely less certain.
Will it rain in Horsham today or tomorrow?
Check the hourly strip and 7-day forecast above. We compare rain from European, American, German for Horsham and flag the days where the models disagree on whether showers actually arrive, which is exactly when a single app can catch you out.
Which forecast is most accurate for Horsham?
Over the last 30 days, the European model has been the most accurate for Horsham (CheckWeather Score 92/100), ahead of the German at 92. We grade every model against the recorded weather. See the AU accuracy scoreboard for the full method.

Nearby

More AU weather